Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

UNITED FIRE GROUP INC COM (UFCS)

195 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in UFCS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — UFCS

Based on 195 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added UFCS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
195 hedge funds hold UFCS right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +20% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+32 new funds entered over the past year (+20% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

99 buying79 selling
Last quarter: 99 funds bought or added vs 79 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~30 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 29 → 19 → 27 → 30. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

61% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 20% new
119 out of 195 hedge funds have held UFCS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +21% but shares only +1% — price-driven

Value
+20%
Shares
+0%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +21%, but actual share count only changed +1%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

31 → 29 → 19 → 27 → 30 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 29 → 19 → 27 → 30. A growing number of institutions are discovering UFCS each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 68% of holders stayed 2+ years

68% veterans 8% 1-2yr 24% new
Of 195 current holders: 132 (68%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds

51% from top-100 AUM funds
34 of 195 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in UFCS. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: UFCS

How many hedge funds hold UFCS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of UFCS vs. share price

Market Analysis: UFCS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: UFCS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

37 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: UFCS
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 15 days 195 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in UFCS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 195 180 8.33%
13F Shares 17M 17M 0.92%
Total Value $610M $506M 20.62%
New Positions 30 27 +3
Increased Positions 69 68 +1
Closed Positions 15 15 -
Reduced Positions 64 63 +1
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: UFCS

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

195 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in UFCS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of UFCS — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.21% 211,768 $7.8M
2 R Squared Ltd 0.19% 9,557 $354K
3 Ellsworth Advisors, LLC 0.18% 25,856 $958K
4 SIERRA SUMMIT ADVISORS LLC 0.14% 25,171 $933K
5 Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB 0.02% 27,499 $1.0M
6 AlphaQuest LLC 0.02% 11,791 $429K
7 TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS 0.01% 49,445 $1.8M
8 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.01% 9,700
9 Moran Wealth Management, LLC 0.01% 5,515 $204K
10 Sterling Capital Management LLC 0.01% 8,640 $320K
11 EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC 0.01% 21,598 $800K
12 State of Alaska, Department of Revenue 0.01% 13,933
13 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.00% 2,012 $75K
14 PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC 0.00% 132,046 $4.9M
15 STRS OHIO 0.00% 17,400 $645K
16 YOUSIF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.00% 5,843 $217K
17 OREGON PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT FUND 0.00% 5,052 $187K
18 Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey 0.00% 5,810 $215K
19 NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM 0.00% 22,195
20 GILL CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC 0.00% 153 $6K
21 TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF THE STATE OF KENTUCKY 0.00% 5,493
22 True Wealth Design, LLC 0.00% 144 $5K
23 Farther Finance Advisors, LLC 0.00% 4,049 $149K
24 Arizona State Retirement System 0.00% 5,956 $221K
25 ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC 0.00% 114,822 $4.3M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — UNITED FIRE GROUP INC COM (UFCS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for UFCS?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added UFCS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for UFCS?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 99 funds bought or added vs 79 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for UFCS holders?

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds: 34 of 195 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in UFCS. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held UFCS?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 119 out of 195 hedge funds have held UFCS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.