Based on 7 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their UBRL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 64% of 1.2Y high
64% of all-time peak
Only 7 funds hold UBRL today versus a peak of 11 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 64% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +40% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 5Q
+2 new funds entered over the past year (+40% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 3 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying
3 buying9 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 3 → 4 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 43% entered in last year
■ 14% conviction (2yr+)
■ 43% medium
■ 43% new
Only 1 funds (14%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +3%, value -38%
Last quarter: funds added +3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -38%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
5 → 3 → 4 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 3 → 4 → 1. UBRL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 8 current holders: 8 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 7 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.