Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
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Direxion Shares ETF Trust (UBOT)

10 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in UBOT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -3
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
25%

Smart Money Signals — UBOT

Based on 10 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their UBOT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 67% of 3.0Y high

67% of all-time peak
Only 10 funds hold UBOT today versus a peak of 15 funds at 2024 Q2 — just 67% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉

Outflows — 29% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
4 fewer hedge funds hold UBOT compared to a year ago (-29% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying

2 buying6 selling
Last quarter: 6 funds sold vs only 2 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 3 → 3 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

60% conviction (2yr+) 20% medium 20% new
6 out of 10 hedge funds have held UBOT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

2 → 1 → 3 → 3 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 3 → 3 → 0. UBOT is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 60% veterans vs 20% newcomers

60% veterans 20% 1-2yr 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 10 holders: 6 (60%) are 2+ year veterans, 2 entered 1–2 years ago, and 2 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds

30% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 9 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — UBOT

In 2026 Q1, 2 hedge funds were net buyers of UBOT (2 added to existing positions), while 6 reduced or exited (3 trimmed, 3 sold completely) — a 25% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 30% of total institutional value in UBOT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -3 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 10.

Hedge Fund Ownership: UBOT

How many hedge funds hold UBOT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of UBOT vs. share price

Market Analysis: UBOT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: UBOT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Direxion Shares ETF Trust (UBOT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much UBOT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 7d ago
UBOT
-7.7%
SPY
+0.6%

UBOT outperformed SPY by -8.3% since June 30, 2026.

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: UBOT
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 43 days 10 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in UBOT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 10 13 -23.08%
13F Shares 195K 256K -23.87%
Total Value $4M $7M -38.69%
New Positions 0 3 -3
Increased Positions 2 4 -2
Closed Positions 3 4 -1
Reduced Positions 3 4 -1
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: UBOT

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

10 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in UBOT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Direxion Shares ETF Trust (UBOT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for UBOT?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their UBOT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for UBOT?

Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying: Last quarter: 6 funds sold vs only 2 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for UBOT holders?

Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds: 2 of 9 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held UBOT?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 6 out of 10 hedge funds have held UBOT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Direxion Shares ETF Trust (UBOT) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), UBOT has gained -7.7% vs +0.6% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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