Based on 152 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
152 hedge funds hold TY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Steady growth — +6% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+9 new funds entered over the past year (+6% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
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Slight buying edge — 58% buying
63 buying46 selling
Last quarter: 63 funds bought or added vs 46 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Fewer new buyers each quarter (-11 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 15 → 17 → 25 → 14. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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64% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 64% conviction (2yr+)
■ 20% medium
■ 16% new
98 out of 152 hedge funds have held TY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Growing discovery — still being found
9 → 15 → 17 → 25 → 14 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 15 → 17 → 25 → 14. A growing number of institutions are discovering TY each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
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Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 20% newcomers
■ 68% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 152 holders: 104 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 18 entered 1–2 years ago, and 30 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds
20% from top-100 AUM funds
18 of 152 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.