Based on 154 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (99% of max)
99% of all-time peak
154 hedge funds hold TY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TY is almost the same as a year ago (+4 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
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Slight buying edge — 57% buying
77 buying59 selling
Last quarter: 77 funds bought or added vs 59 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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More new buyers each quarter (+6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TY position: 17 → 25 → 14 → 20. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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64% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 64% conviction (2yr+)
■ 18% medium
■ 19% new
98 out of 154 hedge funds have held TY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Peak discovery — momentum slowing
15 → 17 → 25 → 14 → 20 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 17 → 25 → 14 → 20. TY is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
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Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 21% newcomers
■ 69% veterans
■ 9% 1-2yr
■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 154 holders: 107 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 14 entered 1–2 years ago, and 33 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Strong quality — 21% AUM from major funds
21% from top-100 AUM funds
20 of 154 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 21% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.