Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Ternium SA (TX)

163 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +22
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
66%

Smart Money Signals — TX

Based on 165 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
165 hedge funds hold TX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +51% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+56 new funds entered over the past year (+51% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 4 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 66% buying

107 buying55 selling
Last quarter: 107 funds were net buyers (37 opened a brand new position + 70 added to an existing one). Only 55 were sellers (40 trimmed + 15 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~37 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 18 → 21 → 32 → 37. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 18% new
100 out of 165 hedge funds have held TX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

16 → 18 → 21 → 32 → 37 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 18 → 21 → 32 → 37. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 71% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 174 holders: 123 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 16 entered 1–2 years ago, and 35 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds

25% from top-100 AUM funds
32 of 164 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TX

In 2026 Q2, 107 hedge funds were net buyers of TX (37 opened a new position, 70 added to an existing one), while 55 reduced or exited (40 trimmed, 15 sold completely) — a 66% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 25% of total institutional value in TX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +22 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 165.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TX

How many hedge funds hold TX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TX vs. share price

Market Analysis: TX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TX

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TX
163 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 163 143 13.99%
13F Shares 29M 25M 15.4%
Total Value $1.15B $941M 22.74%
New Positions 37 32 +5
Increased Positions 69 43 +26
Closed Positions 16 13 +3
Reduced Positions 36 42 -6
Total Calls 5 5 -
Total Puts 4 3 33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.8 0.6 Neutral

Statistics: TX

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

163 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Vinland Capital Management Gestora de Recursos LTDA. 15.69% 37,300 $1.6M
2 Contrarian Capital Management, L.L.C. 13.85% 992,413 $42.4M
3 Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd 9.79% 996,424 $42.5M
4 Fourth Sail Capital LP 4.40% 679,328 $29.0M
5 Sagil Capital LLP 3.12% 204,756 $8.7M
6 Oaktree Fund Advisors, LLC 3.09% 41,886 $1.8M
7 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 2.37% 3,141,248 $134.1M
8 Ninety One North America, Inc. 1.02% 509,328 $21.7M
9 Mirabella Financial Services LLP 0.47% 115,100 $4.9M
10 Eagle Harbor Asset Management Inc /Adv 0.43% 7,489 $326K
11 Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. 0.42% 509,371 $22.1M
12 Lazard Asset Management LLC 0.41% 6,383,724 $272.6M
13 Oaktree Capital Management LP 0.34% 572,324 $24.4M
14 Westwood Global Investments, LLC 0.30% 202,575 $8.6M
15 Oldfield Partners LLP 0.27% 26,161 $1.1M
16 Arrow Investment Advisors, LLC 0.24% 5,697 $243K
17 Aigen Investment Management, LP 0.17% 14,753 $630K
18 WealthTrust Axiom LLC 0.17% 18,000 $769K
19 Empirical Finance, LLC 0.16% 90,741 $3.9M
20 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 0.15% 17,676 $755K
21 Militia Capital Management LLC 0.15% 37,000 $1.5M
22 Prudential plc 0.12% 529,299 $22.6M
23 Bearing Point Capital, LLC 0.12% 21,000 $897K
24 Deprince Race & Zollo Inc 0.12% 168,930 $7.2M
25 Numerai GP LLC 0.12% 34,296 $1.5M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Ternium SA (TX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TX?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TX?

More buyers than sellers — 66% buying: Last quarter: 107 funds were net buyers (37 opened a brand new position + 70 added to an existing one). Only 55 were sellers (40 trimmed + 15 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for TX holders?

Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds: 32 of 164 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held TX?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 100 out of 165 hedge funds have held TX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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