Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Texas Ventures Acquisition I (TVA)

54 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TVA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
38%

Smart Money Signals — TVA

Based on 54 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TVA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
54 hedge funds hold TVA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +5300% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+53 new funds entered over the past year (+5300% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 38% buying

18 buying29 selling
Last quarter: 29 funds sold vs only 18 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~11 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 29 → 18 → 13 → 11. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 61% entered in last year

■ 4% conviction (2yr+) ■ 35% medium ■ 61% new
Only 2 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Value +3857% but shares only +6% — price-driven

Value
+3857%
Shares
+5%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +3857%, but actual share count only changed +6%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

0 → 29 → 18 → 13 → 11 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 29 → 18 → 13 → 11. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 96% of holders entered in last year

■ 4% veterans ■ 0% 1-2yr ■ 96% new
Of 54 current holders: 52 (96%) entered in the past year, only 2 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆

Elite ownership — 98% AUM from top-100 funds

98% from top-100 AUM funds
10 of 54 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 98% of total institutional value in TVA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
7.1
out of 10
High Exit Risk
Exit risk score 7.1/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Selling pressure exceeds buying: only 38% of active funds buying. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TVA

In 2026 Q1, 18 hedge funds were net buyers of TVA (11 opened a new position, 7 added to an existing one), while 29 reduced or exited (21 trimmed, 8 sold completely) — a 38% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 98% of total institutional value in TVA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 54.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TVA

How many hedge funds hold TVA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TVA vs. share price

Market Analysis: TVA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TVA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Texas Ventures Acquisition I (TVA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TVA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
TVA
+0.7%
XLF
+1220.3%

TVA outperformed XLF by -1219.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
TVA
-0.2%
XLF
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, TVA outperformed XLF by -5.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TVA
54 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TVA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 54 51 5.88%
13F Shares 20M 19M 5.57%
Total Value $7.86B $199M 3857.26%
New Positions 11 13 -2
Increased Positions 7 9 -2
Closed Positions 8 6 +2
Reduced Positions 21 21 -
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: TVA

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

54 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TVA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TVA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Yorkville Advisors Global, LP 7.06% 1,050,000 $10.9M
2 Harraden Circle Investments, LLC 2.05% 985,000 $10.2M
3 Anson Funds Management LP 2.01% 2,199,942 $22.9M
4 Mercuria Capital Strategies, LLC 1.38% 347,500 $3.6M
5 RLH Capital LLC 0.58% 110,235 $1.1M
6 Meteora Capital, LLC 0.55% 723,878 $7.5M
7 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 0.35% 644,953 $6.7M
8 J. Goldman & Co LP 0.35% 1,159,591 $12.0M
9 Governors Lane LP 0.30% 446,058 $4.6M
10 Radcliffe Capital Management, L.P. 0.25% 325,894 $3.4M
11 Highbridge Capital Management LLC 0.25% 738,748 $7.7M
12 Periscope Capital INC. 0.24% 205,000 $2.1M
13 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.22% 1,396,956 $14.5M
14 Rivernorth Capital Management, LLC 0.19% 375,000 $3.9M
15 Lincoln Capital Corp 0.19% 50,000 $520K
16 DLD Asset Management, LP 0.19% 197,072 $2.0M
17 BTG Pactual Asset Management US LLC 0.17% 186,531 $1.9M
18 AQR Arbitrage LLC 0.16% 955,051 $9.9M
19 Magnetar Financial LLC 0.15% 1,400,000 $14.5M
20 Massar Capital Management, LP 0.12% 106,584 $1.1M
21 Aristeia Capital, L.L.C. 0.09% 400,000 $4.2M
22 Heights Capital Management, Inc 0.08% 25,900 $269K
23 Westchester Capital Management, LLC 0.06% 136,832 $1.4M
24 Waratah Capital Advisors Ltd. 0.06% 151,804 $1.6M
25 Quarry LP 0.06% 30,245 $314K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Texas Ventures Acquisition I (TVA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TVA?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TVA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TVA?

Heavy selling pressure — only 38% buying: Last quarter: 29 funds sold vs only 18 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for TVA holders?

Elite ownership — 98% AUM from top-100 funds: 10 of 54 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 98% of total institutional value in TVA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TVA?

Mostly new holders — 61% entered in last year: Only 2 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Texas Ventures Acquisition I (TVA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TVA has moved -0.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TVA has gained +0.7% vs +1220.3% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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