Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tidal Trust II (TSLY)

47 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TSLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -15
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — TSLY

Based on 47 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TSLY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 62% of 3.0Y high

62% of all-time peak
Only 47 funds hold TSLY today versus a peak of 76 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 62% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉

Outflows — 8% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
4 fewer hedge funds hold TSLY compared to a year ago (-8% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

27 buying31 selling
Last quarter: 31 funds reduced or exited vs 27 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 22 → 18 → 15 → 4. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 26% long-term, 28% new

■ 26% conviction (2yr+) ■ 47% medium ■ 28% new
Of the 47 current holders: 12 (26%) held >2 years, 22 held 1–2 years, and 13 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -18%, value -34%

Value
-34%
Shares
-17%
Last quarter: funds added -18% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -34%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

15 → 22 → 18 → 15 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 22 → 18 → 15 → 4. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 2% veterans, 42% new entrants

■ 2% veterans ■ 57% 1-2yr ■ 42% new
Of 53 current holders: 1 (2%) held 2+ years, 30 held 1–2 years, 22 (42%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 15% AUM from top-100

15% from top-100 AUM funds
10 of 47 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 15% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
1.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TSLY

In 2026 Q1, 27 hedge funds were net buyers of TSLY (4 opened a new position, 23 added to an existing one), while 31 reduced or exited (12 trimmed, 19 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. Net fund flow last quarter: -15 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 47.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TSLY

How many hedge funds hold TSLY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TSLY vs. share price

Market Analysis: TSLY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TSLY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tidal Trust II (TSLY) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TSLY has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
TSLY
-6.1%
SPY
+13.9%

TSLY outperformed SPY by -20.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
TSLY
-3.1%
SPY
+0.2%

Since the filing became public, TSLY outperformed SPY by -3.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

3 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TSLY
47 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TSLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 47 62 -24.19%
13F Shares 2M 3M -17.67%
Total Value $72M $109M -34.13%
New Positions 4 15 -11
Increased Positions 22 4 +18
Closed Positions 19 29 -10
Reduced Positions 11 42 -31
Total Calls 3 3 -
Total Puts 3 4 -25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.33 Neutral

Statistics: TSLY

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

47 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TSLY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TSLY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Mcguire Capital Advisors Inc 1.27% 66,144 $2.0M
2 Stirlingshire Investments, Inc. 0.54% 20,652 $619K
3 Oasis Advisors, LLC 0.30% 14,897 $559K
4 Tidal Investments LLC 0.08% 1,326,185 $39.8M
5 Sunbelt Securities, Inc. 0.07% 39,084 $1.2M
6 Old Mission Capital LLC 0.03% 70,966 $2.1M
7 PFG Investments, LLC 0.02% 14,086 $422K
8 NFSG Corp 0.02% 3,384 $101K
9 Regal Investment Advisors LLC 0.02% 8,769 $263K
10 Investors Portfolio Services LLC 0.01% 285 $9K
11 International Assets Investment Management, LLC 0.01% 2,660 $81K
12 Centaurus Financial, INC. 0.00% 3,510 $105K
13 SJS Investment Consulting Inc. 0.00% 849 $25K
14 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.00% 766 $23K
15 Group One Trading LLC 0.00% 34,351 $1.0M
16 Security National Bank 0.00% 400 $12K
17 Triumph Capital Management 0.00% 200 $6K
18 Advisory Services Network, LLC 0.00% 2,650 $79K
19 M&T Bank Corp 0.00% 10,000 $300K
20 Kestra Advisory Services, LLC 0.00% 8,101 $243K
21 Jane Street Group, LLC 0.00% 184,080 $5.5M
22 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 181,000 $5.4M
23 Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC 0.00% 2,554 $77K
24 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 109,426 $3.3M
25 UBS Group AG 0.00% 75,177 $2.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tidal Trust II (TSLY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TSLY?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TSLY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TSLY?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 31 funds reduced or exited vs 27 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TSLY holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 15% AUM from top-100: 10 of 47 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 15% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held TSLY?

Mixed — 26% long-term, 28% new: Of the 47 current holders: 12 (26%) held >2 years, 22 held 1–2 years, and 13 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Tidal Trust II (TSLY) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TSLY has moved -3.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.2% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -3.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TSLY has gained -6.1% vs +13.9% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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