Based on 111 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TRDA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (99% of max)
99% of all-time peak
111 hedge funds hold TRDA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+13 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 46% buying
51 buying60 selling
Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 51 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-8 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 19 → 19 → 25 → 17. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
42% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 42% conviction (2yr+)
■ 32% medium
■ 25% new
47 out of 111 hedge funds have held TRDA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰
Price up while funds trimmed (+49% value, -14% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional TRDA holdings rose +49% even though funds reduced share count by 14%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
16 → 19 → 19 → 25 → 17 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 19 → 19 → 25 → 17. A growing number of institutions are discovering TRDA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 53% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 53% veterans
■ 16% 1-2yr
■ 31% new
Of 113 current holders: 60 (53%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 23% AUM from major funds
23% from top-100 AUM funds
27 of 111 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 23% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.