Based on 238 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TPB than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
238 hedge funds hold TPB right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +25% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+47 new funds entered over the past year (+25% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Slight buying edge — 55% buying
134 buying110 selling
Last quarter: 134 funds bought or added vs 110 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TPB position: 37 → 33 → 42 → 49. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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48% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 48% conviction (2yr+)
■ 26% medium
■ 26% new
115 out of 238 hedge funds have held TPB for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Buying through price weakness — shares -3%, value -22%
Last quarter: funds added -3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -22%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
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Growing discovery — still being found
43 → 37 → 33 → 42 → 49 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 37 → 33 → 42 → 49. A growing number of institutions are discovering TPB each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
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Deep conviction — 53% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 53% veterans
■ 10% 1-2yr
■ 37% new
Of 249 current holders: 132 (53%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds
34% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 238 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.