Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Toast Inc (TOST)

756 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TOST. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +10
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — TOST

Based on 775 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TOST than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
775 hedge funds hold TOST right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+28 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

442 buying380 selling
Last quarter: 442 funds bought or added vs 380 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+18 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TOST position: 118 → 154 → 115 → 133. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years

47% conviction (2yr+) 27% medium 26% new
361 out of 775 hedge funds have held TOST for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~133 new funds/quarter

157 → 118 → 154 → 115 → 133 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 118 → 154 → 115 → 133. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 52% veterans vs 31% newcomers

52% veterans 17% 1-2yr 31% new
Entry-cohort mix of 814 holders: 422 (52%) are 2+ year veterans, 140 entered 1–2 years ago, and 252 (31%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds

62% from top-100 AUM funds
67 of 765 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in TOST. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TOST

In 2026 Q2, 442 hedge funds were net buyers of TOST (133 opened a new position, 309 added to an existing one), while 380 reduced or exited (257 trimmed, 123 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 62% of total institutional value in TOST is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +10 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 775.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TOST

How many hedge funds hold TOST — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TOST vs. share price

Market Analysis: TOST

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TOST

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Toast Inc (TOST) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TOST has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 82d ago
TOST
+8.9%
XLK
-0.5%

TOST outperformed XLK by +9.4% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 37d ago
TOST
-12.8%
XLK
-0.2%

Since the filing became public, TOST outperformed XLK by -12.6% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

26 top-rated funds 10 high-conviction
Consensus
6.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TOST
756 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TOST. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 756 765 -1.18%
13F Shares 506M 455M 11.16%
Total Value $13.75B $12.02B 14.38%
New Positions 127 115 +12
Increased Positions 295 307 -12
Closed Positions 126 146 -20
Reduced Positions 244 230 +14
Total Calls 25 27 -7.41%
Total Puts 23 15 53.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.92 0.56 Neutral

Statistics: TOST

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Short % of Float --

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

756 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TOST. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TOST holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC 15.27% 3,021,216 $84.1M
2 HMI Capital Management, L.P. 13.69% 3,504,744 $97.5M
3 Mayar Capital Ltd. 8.06% 258,200 $7.2M
4 Hamilton Lane Advisors LLC 7.50% 400,490 $11.1M
5 ValueAct Holdings, L.P. 6.98% 14,134,038 $393.2M
6 12 West Capital Management LP 6.49% 1,247,840 $34.7M
7 Keenan Capital, LLC 6.14% 1,115,979 $31.0M
8 Nixon Capital, LLC 5.45% 622,725 $17.3M
9 TFJ Management, LLC 4.73% 350,565 $9.8M
10 Triavera Capital LLC 4.24% 280,000 $7.8M
11 Arohi Asset Management PTE Ltd. 4.23% 415,737 $11.6M
12 Meritage Group LP 3.68% 3,432,027 $95.5M
13 Great Point Wealth Advisors, LLC 3.62% 806,646 $22.4M
14 Light Street Capital Management, LLC 3.60% 1,167,500 $32.5M
15 Crawford Fund Management, LLC 3.31% 775,836 $21.6M
16 Xn LP 3.21% 4,389,160 $122.1M
17 Flight Deck Capital, LP 3.19% 236,062 $6.6M
18 Park West Asset Management LLC 3.11% 1,642,010 $45.7M
19 LB Partners LLC 2.94% 155,000 $4.3M
20 Terril Brothers, INC. 2.90% 404,955 $11.3M
21 Independent Family Office, LLC 2.79% 250,000 $7.0M
22 Campbell Capital Management Inc 2.74% 274,436 $7.6M
23 Caden Capital Partners, LP 2.63% 7,841 $218K
24 Whetstone Capital Advisors, LLC 2.46% 336,853 $9.4M
25 Arkfeld Wealth Strategies, L.L.C. 2.33% 264,821 $7.8M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Toast Inc (TOST)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TOST?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TOST than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TOST?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 442 funds bought or added vs 380 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TOST holders?

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds: 67 of 765 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in TOST. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TOST?

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 361 out of 775 hedge funds have held TOST for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Toast Inc (TOST) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TOST has moved -12.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -0.2% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of -12.6%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), TOST has gained +8.9% vs -0.5% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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