Based on 75 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 6 quarters in a row
For 6 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TOPT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
75 hedge funds hold TOPT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +369% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+59 new funds entered over the past year (+369% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 73% buying
53 buying20 selling
Last quarter: 53 funds were net buyers (22 opened a brand new position + 31 added to an existing one). Only 20 were sellers (14 trimmed + 6 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~22 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 15 → 16 → 22 → 22. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 60% entered in last year
■ 8% conviction (2yr+)
■ 32% medium
■ 60% new
Only 6 funds (8%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
16 → 15 → 16 → 22 → 22 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 15 → 16 → 22 → 22. A growing number of institutions are discovering TOPT each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🌱
Early stage — 91% of holders entered in last year
■ 9% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 91% new
Of 77 current holders: 70 (91%) entered in the past year, only 7 (9%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 23% AUM from major funds
23% from top-100 AUM funds
10 of 75 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 23% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
6.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.