Stock Analysis

INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST (TOCT)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +16
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
100%

Smart Money Signals — TOCT

Based on 17 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
17 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 2.8 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +1600% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+1600% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 100% buying

16 buying0 selling
Last quarter: 16 funds were net buyers (16 opened a brand new position + 0 added to an existing one). Only 0 were sellers (0 trimmed + 0 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+16 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 0 → 0 → 0 → 16. A growing number of new institutional buyers means the stock is still being discovered — the opportunity hasn't been fully priced in.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 94% entered in last year

6% conviction (2yr+) 0% medium 94% new
Only 1 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~16 new funds/quarter

0 → 0 → 0 → 0 → 16 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 0 → 0 → 0 → 16. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱

Early stage — 94% of holders entered in last year

6% veterans 0% 1-2yr 94% new
Of 17 current holders: 16 (94%) entered in the past year, only 1 (6%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 7% AUM from top-100

7% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 17 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 7% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
7.4
out of 10
High Exit Risk
Exit risk score 7.4/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TOCT

How many hedge funds hold TOCT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TOCT vs. share price

Market Analysis: TOCT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TOCT

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Hedge Fund Positioning: TOCT
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 47 days Loading... + Investors

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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: TOCT

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed