Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC)

432 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TMHC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -12
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — TMHC

Based on 439 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TMHC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
439 hedge funds hold TMHC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TMHC is almost the same as a year ago (+9 funds, +2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

209 buying279 selling
Last quarter: 279 funds reduced or exited vs 209 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+38 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TMHC position: 78 → 76 → 59 → 97. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 24% new
261 out of 439 hedge funds have held TMHC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +19% but shares only +1% — price-driven

Value
+19%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +19%, but actual share count only changed +1%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~97 new funds/quarter

53 → 78 → 76 → 59 → 97 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 78 → 76 → 59 → 97. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 65% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 65% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 449 holders: 293 (65%) are 2+ year veterans, 49 entered 1–2 years ago, and 107 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds

59% from top-100 AUM funds
59 of 438 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in TMHC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TMHC

In 2026 Q2, 209 hedge funds were net buyers of TMHC (97 opened a new position, 112 added to an existing one), while 279 reduced or exited (170 trimmed, 109 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 59% of total institutional value in TMHC is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -12 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 439.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TMHC

How many hedge funds hold TMHC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TMHC vs. share price

Market Analysis: TMHC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TMHC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TMHC
432 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TMHC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 432 451 -4.21%
13F Shares 89M 96M -7.49%
Total Value $6.26B $5.35B 16.96%
New Positions 94 59 +35
Increased Positions 109 172 -63
Closed Positions 112 59 +53
Reduced Positions 167 156 +11
Total Calls 6 4 50.0%
Total Puts 5 1 400.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.83 0.25 Neutral

Statistics: TMHC

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

432 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TMHC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TMHC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 12.54% 3,002,025 $215.4M
2 Slotnik Capital, LLC 9.92% 535,000 $38.4M
3 Harvest Management LLC 7.12% 252,500 $18.1M
4 Nuance Investments, LLC 6.45% 528,263 $37.9M
5 Chicago Capital Management, LLC 6.39% 133,000 $7.2M
6 Nexpoint Asset Management, L.P. 5.03% 1,049,930 $75.3M
7 Water Island Capital LLC 4.85% 727,492 $52.2M
8 Slotnik Capital, LLC 4.66% 251,100 $18.0M
9 Muhlenkamp & Co Inc 3.30% 158,625 $11.4M
10 Beryl Capital Management LLC 3.24% 50,000 $3.6M
11 Quinn Opportunity Partners LLC 2.92% 878,376 $63.0M
12 One68 Global Capital, LLC 2.02% 13,000 $933K
13 Oddo Bhf Asset Management Sas 1.58% 475,000 $34.1M
14 Bruni J V & Co /Co 1.45% 220,735 $15.8M
15 Basswood Capital Management, L.L.C. 1.10% 386,436 $27.7M
16 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 1.10% 862,507 $61.9M
17 Sagefield Capital LP 1.01% 189,638 $13.6M
18 Third Avenue Management LLC 0.99% 85,941 $6.2M
19 TIG Advisors, LLC 0.98% 307,894 $22.1M
20 Cornerstone Select Advisors, LLC 0.72% 23,961 $1.7M
21 GABELLI & Co INVESTMENT ADVISERS, INC. 0.71% 68,250 $4.9M
22 Bayesian Capital Management, LP 0.64% 14,000 $1.0M
23 Soros Fund Management LLC 0.64% 723,523 $51.9M
24 Fortress Investment Group LLC 0.64% 47,115 $3.4M
25 Neo Ivy Capital Management 0.58% 35,137 $2.5M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TMHC?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TMHC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TMHC?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 279 funds reduced or exited vs 209 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TMHC holders?

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds: 59 of 438 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in TMHC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TMHC?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 261 out of 439 hedge funds have held TMHC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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