Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tmc the Metals Company Inc (TMC)

206 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TMC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +7
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — TMC

Based on 207 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TMC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
207 hedge funds hold TMC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +103% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+105 new funds entered over the past year (+103% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

118 buying86 selling
Last quarter: 118 funds bought or added vs 86 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-9 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 75 → 47 → 56 → 47. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 27% long-term, 42% new

■ 27% conviction (2yr+) ■ 32% medium ■ 42% new
Of the 207 current holders: 55 (27%) held >2 years, 66 held 1–2 years, and 86 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +8%, value -19%

Value
-18%
Shares
+7%
Last quarter: funds added +8% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -19%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

30 → 75 → 47 → 56 → 47 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 75 → 47 → 56 → 47. TMC is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 37% veterans, 53% new entrants

■ 37% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 53% new
Of 223 current holders: 83 (37%) held 2+ years, 22 held 1–2 years, 118 (53%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
32 of 207 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in TMC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.8
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.8/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TMC

In 2026 Q1, 118 hedge funds were net buyers of TMC (47 opened a new position, 71 added to an existing one), while 86 reduced or exited (46 trimmed, 40 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 44% of total institutional value in TMC is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +7 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 207.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TMC

How many hedge funds hold TMC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TMC vs. share price

Market Analysis: TMC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TMC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tmc the Metals Company Inc (TMC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TMC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 81d ago
TMC
+9.9%
SPY
+15.1%

TMC outperformed SPY by -5.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 36d ago
TMC
-5.4%
SPY
+1.3%

Since the filing became public, TMC outperformed SPY by -6.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

14 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TMC
206 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TMC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 206 200 3.0%
13F Shares 70M 65M 7.68%
Total Value $326M $401M -18.73%
New Positions 46 56 -10
Increased Positions 70 51 +19
Closed Positions 40 32 +8
Reduced Positions 41 51 -10
Total Calls 11 11 -
Total Puts 6 5 20.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.55 0.45 Bullish

Statistics: TMC

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

206 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TMC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TMC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Legend Capital Advisors LLC 1.88% 645,494 $3.0M
2 Old West Investment Management, LLC 0.61% 1,204,038 $5.6M
3 SLT Holdings LLC 0.50% 156,700 $732K
4 Mirador Capital Partners LP 0.37% 566,329 $2.6M
5 Kirtland Hills Capital Management, LLC 0.35% 192,139 $1.1M
6 First Manhattan CO. LLC. 0.20% 15,315,924 $71.5M
7 Optivise Advisory Services LLC 0.15% 52,820 $247K
8 New Hampshire Trust 0.13% 133,812 $625K
9 Mozayyx Management LLC 0.12% 25,000 $117K
10 Hubbell Strickland Wealth Management, LLC 0.09% 49,568 $231K
11 FWG Holdings, LLC 0.09% 52,500 $241K
12 nVerses Capital, LLC 0.09% 20,534 $96K
13 T3 Companies, LLC 0.09% 14,200 $66K
14 Aquatic Capital Management LLC 0.08% 572,078 $2.7M
15 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.07% 125,778 $587K
16 Brown, Lisle/Cummings, INC. 0.06% 50,000 $234K
17 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.05% 276,867 $1.3M
18 Axq Capital, LP 0.04% 64,083 $299K
19 Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC 0.04% 51,262 $239K
20 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.04% 41,128 $192K
21 Lane Brothers & Co Inc 0.03% 10,054 $47K
22 Foundation Wealth Management, LLC\PA 0.03% 20,000 $93K
23 Perbak Capital Partners LLP 0.03% 27,963 $131K
24 Evelyn Partners Investment Management Services Ltd 0.03% 47,021 $220K
25 Walleye Capital LLC 0.02% 1,196,793 $5.6M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tmc the Metals Company Inc (TMC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TMC?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TMC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TMC?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 118 funds bought or added vs 86 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TMC holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 32 of 207 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in TMC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TMC?

Mixed — 27% long-term, 42% new: Of the 207 current holders: 55 (27%) held >2 years, 66 held 1–2 years, and 86 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Tmc the Metals Company Inc (TMC) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TMC has moved -5.4% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.3% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -6.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TMC has gained +9.9% vs +15.1% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →