Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Toyota Motor Corp (TM)

636 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -55
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — TM

Based on 637 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
637 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 692 funds (reached 2026 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+46 new funds entered over the past year (+8% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

286 buying374 selling
Last quarter: 374 funds reduced or exited vs 286 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 93 → 134 → 91 → 80. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 19% new
390 out of 637 hedge funds have held TM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +4%, value -14%

Value
-14%
Shares
+3%
Last quarter: funds added +4% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -14%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

80 → 93 → 134 → 91 → 80 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 93 → 134 → 91 → 80. TM is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 65% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 65% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 653 holders: 426 (65%) are 2+ year veterans, 73 entered 1–2 years ago, and 154 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 78% AUM from top-100 funds

78% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 636 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 78% of total institutional value in TM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TM

In 2026 Q2, 286 hedge funds were net buyers of TM (80 opened a new position, 206 added to an existing one), while 374 reduced or exited (239 trimmed, 135 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 78% of total institutional value in TM is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -55 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 637.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TM

How many hedge funds hold TM — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TM vs. share price

Market Analysis: TM

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TM

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Toyota Motor Corp (TM) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TM has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 59d ago
TM
+14.0%
XLY
-0.4%

TM outperformed XLY by +14.4% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 14d ago
TM
+0.5%
XLY
-1.2%

Since the filing became public, TM outperformed XLY by +1.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

16 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TM
636 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 636 692 -8.09%
13F Shares 27M 26M 3.92%
Total Value $4.42B $5.16B -14.42%
New Positions 80 91 -11
Increased Positions 203 299 -96
Closed Positions 135 77 +58
Reduced Positions 233 161 +72
Total Calls 7 9 -22.22%
Total Puts 10 12 -16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.43 1.33 Bearish

Statistics: TM

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

636 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TM. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TM holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Martin Investment Management, LLC 5.56% 98,860 $16.7M
2 Srb Corp 2.64% 291,689 $49.1M
3 Stamos Capital Partners, L.P. 2.42% 93,585 $15.8M
4 Altrius Capital Management Inc 1.85% 57,767 $9.7M
5 apricus wealth, LLC 1.48% 18,424 $3.1M
6 Robinson Value Management, Ltd. 0.92% 10,228 $1.7M
7 Gold Investment Management Ltd. 0.83% 18,093 $3.0M
8 Inspire Trust Co, N.A. 0.81% 35,000 $5.9M
9 Live Oak Private Wealth LLC 0.76% 36,105 $6.1M
10 TriCert Investment Counsel Inc. 0.75% 47,622 $8.0M
11 Raelipskie Partnership 0.71% 11,142 $1.9M
12 Alliance Private Wealth, LLC 0.70% 11,905 $2.0M
13 Hudson Portfolio Management LLC 0.69% 5,388 $907K
14 Cullen Capital Management, LLC 0.65% 391,325 $65.9M
15 Collaborative Fund Advisors, LLC 0.60% 6,068 $1.0M
16 Greenfield Seitz Capital Management, LLC 0.50% 10,012 $1.7M
17 Cardinal Capital Management 0.50% 24,586 $4.1M
18 Chiron Capital Management, LLC 0.48% 3,210 $541K
19 Pekao Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych S.A. 0.42% 3,966 $668K
20 Dv Equities, LLC 0.40% 16,704 $2.8M
21 J. Team Financial, Inc. 0.38% 2,319 $391K
22 Mitchell & Pahl Private Wealth, LLC 0.38% 6,062 $1.0M
23 Naviter Wealth, LLC 0.37% 24,320 $4.1M
24 Amanah Holdings Trust 0.37% 37,000 $6.2M
25 Fisher Asset Management, LLC 0.36% 7,202,123 $1.21B
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Toyota Motor Corp (TM)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TM?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TM?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 374 funds reduced or exited vs 286 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TM holders?

Elite ownership — 78% AUM from top-100 funds: 45 of 636 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 78% of total institutional value in TM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TM?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 390 out of 637 hedge funds have held TM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Toyota Motor Corp (TM) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TM has moved +0.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -1.2% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +1.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), TM has gained +14.0% vs -0.4% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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