Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tillys Inc (TLYS)

64 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TLYS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +10
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
64%

Smart Money Signals — TLYS

Based on 64 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TLYS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 83% of 3.0Y peak

83% of all-time peak
64 funds currently hold this stock — 83% of the 3.0-year high of 77 funds (reached 2023 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +12% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+7 new funds entered over the past year (+12% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying

36 buying20 selling
Last quarter: 36 funds were net buyers (17 opened a brand new position + 19 added to an existing one). Only 20 were sellers (13 trimmed + 7 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+14 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TLYS position: 18 → 10 → 3 → 17. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 22% new
39 out of 64 hedge funds have held TLYS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +101% but shares only +1% — price-driven

Value
+100%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +101%, but actual share count only changed +1%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

6 → 18 → 10 → 3 → 17 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 18 → 10 → 3 → 17. TLYS is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 76% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 76% veterans ■ 3% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 66 holders: 50 (76%) are 2+ year veterans, 2 entered 1–2 years ago, and 14 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100

6% from top-100 AUM funds
20 of 64 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TLYS

In 2026 Q1, 36 hedge funds were net buyers of TLYS (17 opened a new position, 19 added to an existing one), while 20 reduced or exited (13 trimmed, 7 sold completely) — a 64% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net fund flow last quarter: +10 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 64.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TLYS

How many hedge funds hold TLYS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TLYS vs. share price

Market Analysis: TLYS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TLYS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tillys Inc (TLYS) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TLYS has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 85d ago
TLYS
+6.9%
XLY
+6.2%

TLYS outperformed XLY by +0.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 40d ago
TLYS
+7.2%
XLY
-0.7%

Since the filing became public, TLYS outperformed XLY by +7.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

9 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
4.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TLYS
64 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TLYS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 64 54 18.52%
13F Shares 21M 21M 1.08%
Total Value $84M $42M 100.8%
New Positions 17 3 +14
Increased Positions 18 13 +5
Closed Positions 7 8 -1
Reduced Positions 12 23 -11
Total Calls 2 2 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: TLYS

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Profit Margin --
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Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

64 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TLYS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TLYS holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 BML Capital Management, LLC 5.59% 2,150,000 $8.7M
2 Fund 1 Investments, LLC 3.74% 8,058,268 $32.6M
3 Simcoe Capital LLC 2.30% 619,436 $2.5M
4 Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC 0.61% 693,320 $2.8M
5 Shay Capital LLC 0.60% 1,786,441 $7.2M
6 Aristides Capital LLC 0.18% 201,873 $818K
7 Afg Fiduciary Services Limited Partnership 0.10% 40,000 $176K
8 Scientech Research LLC 0.04% 10,824 $44K
9 MUFG Securities EMEA plc 0.03% 500,000 $2.0M
10 Two Sigma Securities, LLC 0.01% 28,442 $115K
11 Kathmere Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 50,000 $202K
12 Abel Hall, LLC 0.01% 13,680 $55K
13 Nomura Holdings Inc 0.01% 546,027 $2.2M
14 Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund 0.01% 900,000 $3.6M
15 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.01% 849,314 $3.4M
16 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 65,931 $267K
17 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.00% 810,509 $3.3M
18 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.00% 23,158 $94K
19 Empowered Funds, LLC 0.00% 45,031 $182K
20 Two Sigma Advisers, LP 0.00% 179,000 $356K
21 Cibc World Market INC. 0.00% 95,000 $385K
22 Hrt Financial LP 0.00% 59,356 $240K
23 CIBC Bancorp USA Inc. 0.00% 95,000 $385K
24 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 0.00% 25,774 $104K
25 Sequoia Financial Advisors, LLC 0.00% 12,039 $49K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tillys Inc (TLYS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TLYS?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TLYS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TLYS?

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying: Last quarter: 36 funds were net buyers (17 opened a brand new position + 19 added to an existing one). Only 20 were sellers (13 trimmed + 7 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for TLYS holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100: 20 of 64 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held TLYS?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 39 out of 64 hedge funds have held TLYS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Tillys Inc (TLYS) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TLYS has moved +7.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -0.7% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +7.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TLYS has gained +6.9% vs +6.2% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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