Based on 53 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TLYS positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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Below peak — only 69% of 3.0Y high
69% of all-time peak
Only 53 funds hold TLYS today versus a peak of 77 funds at 2023 Q2 — just 69% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold TLYS compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 37% buying
18 buying31 selling
Last quarter: 31 funds sold vs only 18 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 6 → 18 → 9 → 3. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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75% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 75% conviction (2yr+)
■ 8% medium
■ 17% new
40 out of 53 hedge funds have held TLYS for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
2 → 6 → 18 → 9 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 18 → 9 → 3. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 82% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 82% veterans
■ 2% 1-2yr
■ 16% new
Of 55 current holders: 45 (82%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Smaller funds dominant — 11% AUM from top-100
11% from top-100 AUM funds
13 of 53 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 11% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.