Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tandy Leather Factory Inc (TLF)

22 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TLF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -2
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
36%

Smart Money Signals — TLF

Based on 22 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TLF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
22 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 26 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 4% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
1 fewer hedge funds hold TLF compared to a year ago (-4% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 36% buying

5 buying9 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 5 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 6 → 1 → 3 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

68% of holders stayed for 2+ years

68% conviction (2yr+) 14% medium 18% new
15 out of 22 hedge funds have held TLF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -5%, value -20%

Value
-20%
Shares
-5%
Last quarter: funds added -5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -20%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

6 → 6 → 1 → 3 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 1 → 3 → 2. TLF is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 73% veterans vs 23% newcomers

73% veterans 5% 1-2yr 23% new
Entry-cohort mix of 22 holders: 16 (73%) are 2+ year veterans, 1 entered 1–2 years ago, and 5 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100

1% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 22 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TLF

In 2026 Q1, 5 hedge funds were net buyers of TLF (2 opened a new position, 3 added to an existing one), while 9 reduced or exited (5 trimmed, 4 sold completely) — a 36% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net fund flow last quarter: -2 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 22.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TLF

How many hedge funds hold TLF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TLF vs. share price

Market Analysis: TLF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TLF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tandy Leather Factory Inc (TLF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TLF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
TLF
-0.4%
XLY
+6.0%

TLF outperformed XLY by -6.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
TLF
-0.9%
XLY
-0.9%

Since the filing became public, TLF outperformed XLY by +0.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

2 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TLF
22 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TLF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 22 24 -8.33%
13F Shares 5M 5M -5.01%
Total Value $11M $14M -20.17%
New Positions 2 3 -1
Increased Positions 3 4 -1
Closed Positions 4 2 +2
Reduced Positions 5 5 -
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: TLF

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

22 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TLF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 19 TLF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Bandera Partners LLC 2.99% 2,857,936 $6.6M
2 JCP Investment Management, LLC 1.35% 876,059 $2.0M
3 Brooklands Fund Management Ltd 0.53% 205,717 $475K
4 Value Investment Professionals, LLC 0.48% 183,939 $425K
5 Values First Advisors, Inc. 0.07% 57,792 $134K
6 First Foundation Advisors 0.02% 224,345 $518K
7 George Kaiser Family Foundation 0.01% 41,143 $95K
8 Money Concepts Capital Corp 0.01% 80,599 $186K
9 James Investment Research, INC. 0.00% 12,573 $29K
10 NewEdge Advisors, LLC 0.00% 12,573 $13K
11 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) 0.00% 2,165 $5K
12 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 16,700 $39K
13 Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co 0.00% 27,907 $64K
14 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 0.00% 131,410 $304K
15 Osaic Holdings, INC. 0.00% 848 $2K
16 Caldwell Sutter Capital, INC. 0.00% 2
17 Morgan Stanley 0.00% 7
18 UBS Group AG 0.00% 1
19 Wells Fargo & Company/Mn 0.00% 1
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tandy Leather Factory Inc (TLF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TLF?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TLF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TLF?

Heavy selling pressure — only 36% buying: Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 5 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for TLF holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100: 6 of 22 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held TLF?

68% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 15 out of 22 hedge funds have held TLF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Tandy Leather Factory Inc (TLF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TLF has moved -0.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -0.9% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TLF has gained -0.4% vs +6.0% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →