Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Timken Co (TKR)

595 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TKR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +71
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — TKR

Based on 605 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TKR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
605 hedge funds hold TKR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +39% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+169 new funds entered over the past year (+39% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

349 buying238 selling
Last quarter: 349 funds bought or added vs 238 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+19 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TKR position: 45 → 92 → 120 → 139. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 55% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 27% new
335 out of 605 hedge funds have held TKR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +54% but shares only +23% — price-driven

Value
+53%
Shares
+23%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +54%, but actual share count only changed +23%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

76 → 45 → 92 → 120 → 139 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 45 → 92 → 120 → 139. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 29% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 7% 1-2yr ■ 29% new
Entry-cohort mix of 616 holders: 396 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 44 entered 1–2 years ago, and 176 (29%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds

50% from top-100 AUM funds
61 of 602 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in TKR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TKR

In 2026 Q2, 349 hedge funds were net buyers of TKR (139 opened a new position, 210 added to an existing one), while 238 reduced or exited (170 trimmed, 68 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 50% of total institutional value in TKR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +71 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 605.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TKR

How many hedge funds hold TKR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TKR vs. share price

Market Analysis: TKR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TKR

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 9 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TKR
595 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TKR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 595 534 11.42%
13F Shares 66M 62M 5.39%
Total Value $9.22B $6.05B 52.49%
New Positions 137 120 +17
Increased Positions 206 167 +39
Closed Positions 73 51 +22
Reduced Positions 164 160 +4
Total Calls 9 5 80.0%
Total Puts 4 2 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.44 0.4 Bullish

Statistics: TKR

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

595 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TKR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TKR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC 15.78% 334,613 $48.6M
2 Dilation Capital Management LP 9.73% 165,945 $24.1M
3 Congruence Capital, LLC 6.48% 170,586 $24.8M
4 Lodge Hill Capital, LLC 4.87% 200,000 $29.1M
5 Wealth High Governance Capital Ltda 4.80% 110,445 $16.0M
6 Peregrine Investment Management Inc 4.33% 70,000 $10.2M
7 Wealth High Governance Asset Management Ltda. 2.94% 195,284 $16.4M
8 Candelo Capital Management LP 2.84% 31,705 $4.6M
9 Gallo Partners, LP 2.46% 7,637 $1.1M
10 Tribune Investment Group LP 2.45% 41,520 $6.0M
11 Stansberry Asset Management, LLC 2.42% 181,740 $26.4M
12 Channing Capital Management, LLC 2.42% 722,356 $105.0M
13 Roubaix Capital, LLC 2.24% 42,931 $6.2M
14 Pinnbrook Capital Management LP 1.76% 113,500 $16.5M
15 Cramer Rosenthal Mcglynn LLC 1.73% 234,754 $34.1M
16 Van Den Berg Management I, Inc 1.72% 56,168 $8.2M
17 Pembroke Management, LTD 1.69% 74,257 $10.8M
18 Clean Energy Transition LLP 1.57% 155,419 $22.6M
19 Troluce Capital Advisors LLC 1.47% 98,400 $14.3M
20 Segall Bryant & Hamill, LLC 1.43% 828,448 $120.4M
21 Buckland Partners Management Co LLC 1.35% 19,000 $2.8M
22 Phocas Financial Corp. 1.33% 65,888 $9.6M
23 Deprince Race & Zollo Inc 1.28% 526,719 $76.5M
24 Security National Bank of So Dak 1.13% 16,790 $2.4M
25 Williamson Legacy Group, LLC 1.02% 14,122 $2.1M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Timken Co (TKR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TKR?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TKR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TKR?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 349 funds bought or added vs 238 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TKR holders?

Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds: 61 of 602 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in TKR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TKR?

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 335 out of 605 hedge funds have held TKR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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