Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Timken Co (TKR)

521 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TKR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +65
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — TKR

Based on 529 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TKR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
529 hedge funds hold TKR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +26% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+110 new funds entered over the past year (+26% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

286 buying214 selling
Last quarter: 286 funds bought or added vs 214 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+26 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TKR position: 74 → 45 → 92 → 118. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 23% new
322 out of 529 hedge funds have held TKR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+12% value, -3% shares)

Value
+11%
Shares
-3%
Last quarter: total value of institutional TKR holdings rose +12% even though funds reduced share count by 3%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

50 → 74 → 45 → 92 → 118 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 74 → 45 → 92 → 118. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 25% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 7% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 535 holders: 365 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 38 entered 1–2 years ago, and 132 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds

36% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 528 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TKR

In 2026 Q1, 286 hedge funds were net buyers of TKR (118 opened a new position, 168 added to an existing one), while 214 reduced or exited (161 trimmed, 53 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 36% of total institutional value in TKR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +65 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 529.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TKR

How many hedge funds hold TKR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TKR vs. share price

Market Analysis: TKR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TKR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Timken Co (TKR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TKR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 84d ago
TKR
+36.9%
XLI
+10.2%

TKR outperformed XLI by +26.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 39d ago
TKR
+20.6%
XLI
+3.9%

Since the filing became public, TKR outperformed XLI by +16.7% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TKR
521 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TKR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 521 464 12.28%
13F Shares 62M 64M -3.54%
Total Value $5.99B $5.37B 11.68%
New Positions 114 92 +22
Increased Positions 164 147 +17
Closed Positions 57 46 +11
Reduced Positions 156 154 +2
Total Calls 5 4 25.0%
Total Puts 2 3 -33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.4 0.75 Bullish

Statistics: TKR

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

521 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TKR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TKR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC 13.24% 376,117 $37.8M
2 Peregrine Investment Management Inc 5.53% 70,000 $7.0M
3 Congruence Capital, LLC 5.37% 159,236 $16.0M
4 SMA Capital LLC 2.87% 66,150 $6.7M
5 Channing Capital Management, LLC 2.40% 930,167 $93.5M
6 Regents Gate Capital LLP 2.18% 101,754 $10.2M
7 Clean Energy Transition LLP 2.17% 331,740 $33.4M
8 Wealth High Governance Capital Ltda 2.12% 70,183 $7.1M
9 Wealth High Governance Asset Management Ltda. 2.12% 59,634 $6.0M
10 Stansberry Asset Management, LLC 1.92% 185,824 $18.7M
11 Van Den Berg Management I, Inc 1.37% 59,290 $6.0M
12 Albar Capital Partners LLP 1.32% 80,908 $8.1M
13 Mork Capital Management, LLC 1.19% 16,600 $1.7M
14 Buckland Partners Management Co LLC 1.16% 19,000 $1.9M
15 Tema Etfs LLC 1.10% 163,615 $16.5M
16 Phocas Financial Corp. 1.10% 69,355 $7.0M
17 Deprince Race & Zollo Inc 1.06% 555,387 $55.9M
18 Cooke & Bieler LP 1.04% 913,884 $91.9M
19 Holistic Financial Partners 1.03% 27,666 $2.8M
20 Security National Bank of So Dak 0.84% 17,300 $1.7M
21 Security National Bank of Sioux City Iowa /Ia/ 0.83% 13,916 $1.4M
22 Sittner & Nelson, LLC 0.78% 21,243 $2.1M
23 Baker Ellis Asset Management LLC 0.77% 64,163 $6.5M
24 Cramer Rosenthal Mcglynn LLC 0.76% 102,335 $10.3M
25 iSAM Funds (UK) Ltd 0.71% 14,383 $1.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Timken Co (TKR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TKR?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TKR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TKR?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 286 funds bought or added vs 214 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TKR holders?

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds: 52 of 528 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held TKR?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 322 out of 529 hedge funds have held TKR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Timken Co (TKR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TKR has moved +20.6% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +3.9% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of +16.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TKR has gained +36.9% vs +10.2% for XLI. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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