Based on 206 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TIC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
206 hedge funds hold TIC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +20500% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+205 new funds entered over the past year (+20500% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Slight buying edge — 57% buying
130 buying98 selling
Last quarter: 130 funds bought or added vs 98 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Fewer new buyers each quarter (-83 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 40 → 57 → 134 → 51. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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Mostly new holders — 88% entered in last year
■ 2% conviction (2yr+)
■ 10% medium
■ 88% new
Only 4 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
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Buying through price weakness — shares +26%, value -4%
Last quarter: funds added +26% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -4%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
1 → 40 → 57 → 134 → 51 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 40 → 57 → 134 → 51. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Early stage — 96% of holders entered in last year
■ 4% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 96% new
Of 213 current holders: 204 (96%) entered in the past year, only 9 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
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Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds
20% from top-100 AUM funds
31 of 206 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 7.2/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.