Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM)

226 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TFPM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +6
Streak
6Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — TFPM

Based on 226 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 6 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 6 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TFPM than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
226 hedge funds hold TFPM right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +66% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+90 new funds entered over the past year (+66% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

128 buying99 selling
Last quarter: 128 funds bought or added vs 99 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 41 → 54 → 47 → 40. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 31% long-term, 38% new

■ 31% conviction (2yr+) ■ 31% medium ■ 38% new
Of the 226 current holders: 70 (31%) held >2 years, 69 held 1–2 years, and 87 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~40 new funds/quarter

28 → 41 → 54 → 47 → 40 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 41 → 54 → 47 → 40. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 36% veterans, 49% new entrants

■ 36% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 49% new
Of 233 current holders: 83 (36%) held 2+ years, 36 held 1–2 years, 114 (49%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 9% AUM from top-100

9% from top-100 AUM funds
39 of 225 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 9% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TFPM

In 2026 Q1, 128 hedge funds were net buyers of TFPM (40 opened a new position, 88 added to an existing one), while 99 reduced or exited (65 trimmed, 34 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 6 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +6 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 226.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TFPM

How many hedge funds hold TFPM — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TFPM vs. share price

Market Analysis: TFPM

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TFPM

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TFPM has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
TFPM
-12.0%
SPY
+13.9%

TFPM outperformed SPY by -25.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
TFPM
-4.3%
SPY
+0.2%

Since the filing became public, TFPM outperformed SPY by -4.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

19 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TFPM
226 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TFPM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 226 220 2.73%
13F Shares 176M 178M -1.18%
Total Value $5.95B $5.89B 0.99%
New Positions 40 47 -7
Increased Positions 87 67 +20
Closed Positions 34 32 +2
Reduced Positions 63 70 -7
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 4 3 33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.75 Neutral

Statistics: TFPM

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

226 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TFPM. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TFPM holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Elliott Investment Management L.P. 22.99% 133,248,215 $4.63B
2 Global Strategic Management Inc 8.72% 302,378 $10.5M
3 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 3.29% 148,877 $4.9M
4 Lummis Asset Management, LP 2.53% 124,666 $4.2M
5 Knoll Capital Management, LLC 2.22% 115,000 $4.0M
6 Stansberry Asset Management, LLC 2.11% 590,403 $20.5M
7 Mountain Lake Investment Management LLC 2.02% 90,203 $3.1M
8 Merrion Investment Management Co, LLC 1.68% 90,240 $3.1M
9 Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc. 1.49% 1,235,887 $42.8M
10 Marshall Financial Group, LLC 1.29% 231,255 $8.0M
11 Arbiter Partners Capital Management LLC 1.16% 58,476 $2.0M
12 Sprott INC. 1.04% 1,025,889 $35.6M
13 Parvin Asset Management, LLC 1.00% 39,965 $1.4M
14 Whitebox Advisors LLC 0.65% 1,518,950 $52.7M
15 Winmill & CO. Inc 0.54% 54,000 $1.9M
16 Connecticut Capital Management Group, LLC 0.50% 15,210 $528K
17 LB Partners LLC 0.46% 14,913 $518K
18 Indie Asset Partners, LLC 0.36% 9,200 $319K
19 Meixler Investment Management, Ltd. 0.31% 16,359 $586K
20 Themes Management Co LLC 0.31% 14,591 $507K
21 Hara Capital LLC 0.27% 15,439 $536K
22 U S Global Investors Inc 0.24% 60,000 $2.1M
23 Drive Wealth Management, LLC 0.24% 32,145 $1.1M
24 Tidal Investments LLC 0.19% 2,546,791 $88.4M
25 Navellier & Associates Inc 0.18% 48,490 $1.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TFPM?

Buying streak — 6 quarters in a row: For 6 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TFPM than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TFPM?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 128 funds bought or added vs 99 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TFPM holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 9% AUM from top-100: 39 of 225 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 9% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held TFPM?

Mixed — 31% long-term, 38% new: Of the 226 current holders: 70 (31%) held >2 years, 69 held 1–2 years, and 87 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TFPM has moved -4.3% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.2% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -4.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TFPM has gained -12.0% vs +13.9% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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