Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM)

220 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TFPM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -6
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — TFPM

Based on 222 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TFPM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
222 hedge funds hold TFPM right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +36% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+59 new funds entered over the past year (+36% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

129 buying98 selling
Last quarter: 129 funds bought or added vs 98 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 54 → 47 → 41 → 34. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 36% long-term, 31% new

36% conviction (2yr+) 32% medium 31% new
Of the 222 current holders: 81 (36%) held >2 years, 72 held 1–2 years, and 69 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

41 → 54 → 47 → 41 → 34 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 54 → 47 → 41 → 34. TFPM is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 40% veterans vs 46% newcomers

40% veterans 14% 1-2yr 46% new
Entry-cohort mix of 229 holders: 91 (40%) are 2+ year veterans, 33 entered 1–2 years ago, and 105 (46%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 9% AUM from top-100

9% from top-100 AUM funds
41 of 222 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 9% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TFPM

In 2026 Q2, 129 hedge funds were net buyers of TFPM (34 opened a new position, 95 added to an existing one), while 98 reduced or exited (58 trimmed, 40 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net fund flow last quarter: -6 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 222.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TFPM

How many hedge funds hold TFPM — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TFPM vs. share price

Market Analysis: TFPM

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TFPM

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TFPM has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 82d ago
TFPM
+10.6%
SPY
+2.3%

TFPM outperformed SPY by +8.3% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 37d ago
TFPM
+5.5%
SPY
-1.6%

Since the filing became public, TFPM outperformed SPY by +7.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

14 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
5.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TFPM
220 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TFPM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 220 228 -3.51%
13F Shares 176M 177M -0.43%
Total Value $5.22B $5.97B -12.53%
New Positions 33 41 -8
Increased Positions 92 87 +5
Closed Positions 41 33 +8
Reduced Positions 57 64 -7
Total Calls 3 4 -25.0%
Total Puts 4 4 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.33 1.0 Bearish

Statistics: TFPM

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

220 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TFPM. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TFPM holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Elliott Investment Management L.P. 17.61% 133,241,535 $3.99B
2 Global Strategic Management Inc 6.03% 261,158 $7.8M
3 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 3.92% 175,021 $5.2M
4 Mountain Lake Investment Management LLC 3.54% 189,488 $5.7M
5 Lummis Asset Management, LP 2.34% 131,121 $3.9M
6 Knoll Capital Management, LLC 1.92% 115,000 $3.4M
7 Merrion Investment Management Co, LLC 1.28% 90,240 $2.7M
8 Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc. 1.24% 1,276,890 $38.2M
9 Stansberry Asset Management, LLC 1.14% 414,255 $12.4M
10 Marshall Financial Group, LLC 1.01% 231,255 $6.9M
11 Sprott INC. 0.96% 1,012,375 $30.3M
12 Parvin Asset Management, LLC 0.93% 39,530 $1.2M
13 Arbiter Partners Capital Management LLC 0.92% 58,476 $1.8M
14 Delaney Capital Management Ltd. 0.69% 145,699 $4.4M
15 Whitebox Advisors LLC 0.59% 1,518,950 $45.5M
16 U S Global Investors Inc 0.50% 172,000 $5.2M
17 Connecticut Capital Management Group, LLC 0.38% 15,579 $467K
18 LB Partners LLC 0.30% 14,913 $447K
19 Meixler Investment Management, Ltd. 0.27% 16,019 $480K
20 Indie Asset Partners, LLC 0.26% 9,200 $276K
21 Hara Capital LLC 0.24% 15,439 $463K
22 Drive Wealth Management, LLC 0.17% 32,721 $981K
23 Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC 0.17% 506,677 $15.2M
24 Tidal Investments LLC 0.15% 2,949,715 $88.4M
25 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 0.14% 23,405 $701K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TFPM?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TFPM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TFPM?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 129 funds bought or added vs 98 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TFPM holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 9% AUM from top-100: 41 of 222 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 9% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held TFPM?

Mixed — 36% long-term, 31% new: Of the 222 current holders: 81 (36%) held >2 years, 72 held 1–2 years, and 69 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Triple Flag Precious Metal (TFPM) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TFPM has moved +5.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -1.6% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +7.1%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), TFPM has gained +10.6% vs +2.3% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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