Based on 5 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TESL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 62% of 3.0Y high
62% of all-time peak
Only 5 funds hold TESL today versus a peak of 8 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 62% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
〰️
Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TESL is almost the same as a year ago (+0 funds, +0% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 38% buying
3 buying5 selling
Last quarter: 5 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 4 → 5 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 60% entered in last year
■ 20% conviction (2yr+)
■ 20% medium
■ 60% new
Only 1 funds (20%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -25%, value -57%
Last quarter: funds added -25% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -57%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~1 new funds/quarter
3 → 2 → 4 → 5 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 4 → 5 → 1. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 60% of holders entered in last year
■ 40% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 60% new
Of 5 current holders: 3 (60%) entered in the past year, only 2 (40%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100
1% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 5 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.