Based on 240 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TERN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
240 hedge funds hold TERN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +55% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+85 new funds entered over the past year (+55% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 75% buying
193 buying64 selling
Last quarter: 193 funds were net buyers (122 opened a brand new position + 71 added to an existing one). Only 64 were sellers (44 trimmed + 20 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+96 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TERN position: 25 → 21 → 26 → 122. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌
Mixed — 28% long-term, 45% new
■ 28% conviction (2yr+)
■ 28% medium
■ 45% new
Of the 240 current holders: 66 (28%) held >2 years, 67 held 1–2 years, and 107 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💰
Value +635% but shares only +38% — price-driven
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +635%, but actual share count only changed +38%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀
Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
35 → 25 → 21 → 26 → 122 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 25 → 21 → 26 → 122. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 39% veterans, 42% new entrants
■ 39% veterans
■ 19% 1-2yr
■ 42% new
Of 248 current holders: 96 (39%) held 2+ years, 47 held 1–2 years, 105 (42%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
✅
Strong quality — 31% AUM from major funds
31% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 240 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 31% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.8
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.8/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.