Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Direxion Shares ETF Trust (TECL)

78 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TECL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -9
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — TECL

Based on 79 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TECL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 88% of 3.0Y peak

88% of all-time peak
79 funds currently hold this stock — 88% of the 3.0-year high of 90 funds (reached 2025 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +25% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+25% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

41 buying45 selling
Last quarter: 45 funds reduced or exited vs 41 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~14 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 26 → 21 → 17 → 14. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years

47% conviction (2yr+) 32% medium 22% new
37 out of 79 hedge funds have held TECL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +2%, value -25%

Value
-24%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: funds added +2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -25%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

11 → 26 → 21 → 17 → 14 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 26 → 21 → 17 → 14. TECL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 56% of holders stayed 2+ years

56% veterans 18% 1-2yr 26% new
Of 85 current holders: 48 (56%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 71% AUM from top-100 funds

71% from top-100 AUM funds
13 of 79 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 71% of total institutional value in TECL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TECL

In 2026 Q1, 41 hedge funds were net buyers of TECL (14 opened a new position, 27 added to an existing one), while 45 reduced or exited (22 trimmed, 23 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 71% of total institutional value in TECL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -9 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 79.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TECL

How many hedge funds hold TECL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TECL vs. share price

Market Analysis: TECL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TECL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Direxion Shares ETF Trust (TECL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TECL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
TECL
+150.7%
SPY
+13.9%

TECL outperformed SPY by +136.8% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
TECL
+11.2%
SPY
+0.2%

Since the filing became public, TECL outperformed SPY by +11.0% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

2 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TECL
78 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TECL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 78 88 -11.36%
13F Shares 4M 4M 2.23%
Total Value $344M $457M -24.74%
New Positions 14 17 -3
Increased Positions 24 28 -4
Closed Positions 24 19 +5
Reduced Positions 21 24 -3
Total Calls 3 4 -25.0%
Total Puts 4 3 33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.33 0.75 Bearish

Statistics: TECL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

78 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TECL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TECL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Ogborne Capital Management, LLC 0.88% 20,000 $1.7M
2 Bannerstone Capital Management, LLC 0.82% 10,247 $887K
3 Gts Securities LLC 0.75% 245,977 $21.3M
4 Blue Sky Capital Consultants Group, Inc. 0.54% 13,002 $1.1M
5 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.49% 205,985 $17.8M
6 Donalies Financial Planning, LLC 0.46% 6,240 $540K
7 Grandview Asset Management LLC 0.38% 15,000 $1.3M
8 Torno Capital, LLC 0.37% 31,200 $2.7M
9 Traynor Capital Management, Inc. 0.36% 78,939 $6.1M
10 Oxinas Partners, LLC 0.32% 8,050 $697K
11 Millington Financial Advisors, LLC 0.29% 4,657 $696K
12 Sage Capital Management, LLC 0.27% 6,706 $581K
13 Scientech Research LLC 0.24% 3,377 $292K
14 Plotkin Financial Advisors, LLC 0.23% 5,180 $448K
15 Trinity Legacy Partners, LLC 0.18% 6,900 $814K
16 TRUE Private Wealth Advisors 0.16% 19,814 $1.7M
17 Stratos Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.14% 26,065 $2.3M
18 Socha Financial Group, LLC 0.13% 2,994 $259K
19 Retirement Planning Co of New England, Inc. 0.13% 3,593 $311K
20 West Michigan Advisors, LLC 0.10% 5,000 $433K
21 Stonebridge Financial Group, LLC 0.07% 9,565 $828K
22 Main Street Group, LTD 0.07% 2,632 $228K
23 Quadrature Capital Ltd 0.07% 64,210 $5.6M
24 Crescent Grove Advisors, LLC 0.07% 7,858 $680K
25 Herold Advisors, Inc. 0.05% 2,849 $247K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Direxion Shares ETF Trust (TECL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TECL?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TECL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TECL?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 45 funds reduced or exited vs 41 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TECL holders?

Elite ownership — 71% AUM from top-100 funds: 13 of 79 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 71% of total institutional value in TECL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TECL?

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 37 out of 79 hedge funds have held TECL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Direxion Shares ETF Trust (TECL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TECL has moved +11.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.2% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +11.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TECL has gained +150.7% vs +13.9% for SPY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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