Based on 48 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TDF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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At the ownership peak (96% of max)
96% of all-time peak
48 hedge funds hold TDF right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TDF is almost the same as a year ago (+0 funds, +0% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
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Slight buying edge — 59% buying
22 buying15 selling
Last quarter: 22 funds bought or added vs 15 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 3 → 6 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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69% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 69% conviction (2yr+)
■ 27% medium
■ 4% new
33 out of 48 hedge funds have held TDF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Steady discovery — ~2 new funds/quarter
7 → 5 → 3 → 6 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 3 → 6 → 2. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
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Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 17% newcomers
■ 67% veterans
■ 17% 1-2yr
■ 17% new
Entry-cohort mix of 48 holders: 32 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 8 entered 1–2 years ago, and 8 (17%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Smaller funds dominant — 4% AUM from top-100
4% from top-100 AUM funds
9 of 48 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 4% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.