Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Toronto Dominion Bk Ont (TD)

887 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +63
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — TD

Based on 904 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
904 hedge funds hold TD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +34% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+231 new funds entered over the past year (+34% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

402 buying378 selling
Last quarter: 402 funds bought or added vs 378 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+13 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TD position: 91 → 141 → 112 → 125. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 22% new
548 out of 904 hedge funds have held TD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+30% value, -3% shares)

Value
+29%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: total value of institutional TD holdings rose +30% even though funds reduced share count by 3%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~125 new funds/quarter

108 → 91 → 141 → 112 → 125 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 91 → 141 → 112 → 125. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 944 holders: 641 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 76 entered 1–2 years ago, and 227 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds

53% from top-100 AUM funds
60 of 896 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in TD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TD

In 2026 Q2, 402 hedge funds were net buyers of TD (125 opened a new position, 277 added to an existing one), while 378 reduced or exited (316 trimmed, 62 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 53% of total institutional value in TD is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +63 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 904.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TD

How many hedge funds hold TD — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TD vs. share price

Market Analysis: TD

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TD

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

22 top-rated funds 26 high-conviction
Consensus
5.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TD
887 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 887 841 5.47%
13F Shares 797M 820M -2.77%
Total Value $96.25B $74.30B 29.54%
New Positions 123 112 +11
Increased Positions 265 260 +5
Closed Positions 69 69 -
Reduced Positions 300 269 +31
Total Calls 24 24 -
Total Puts 24 22 9.09%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.92 Neutral

Statistics: TD

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

887 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TD. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TD holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd. 11.44% 1,310,657 $159.2M
2 Canerector Inc 11.07% 200,000 $24.3M
3 Delaney Capital Management Ltd. 10.16% 529,495 $64.3M
4 Heathbridge Capital Management Ltd. 8.82% 212,550 $25.8M
5 Mufg Securities (canada), LTD. 7.74% 2,364,122 $287.0M
6 Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Co 7.24% 719,332 $87.3M
7 Cibc World Market INC. 7.05% 36,191,962 $4.40B
8 Aviso Financial Inc. 6.80% 1,608,236 $195.5M
9 Guardian Partners Inc. 6.67% 608,579 $74.0M
10 TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. 6.53% 20,259,577 $2.48B
11 Portland Investment Counsel INC. 6.34% 186,700 $22.7M
12 Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc. 6.29% 1,591,641 $193.5M
13 Coleford Investment Management Ltd. 6.27% 236,780 $28.7M
14 Addenda Capital Inc. 6.07% 1,294,228 $223.2M
15 Burkett Asset Management Ltd 5.22% 46,041 $5.6M
16 Triasima Portfolio Management inc. 5.02% 306,074 $37.2M
17 Scotia Capital INC. 4.64% 10,259,435 $1.24B
18 Letko, Brosseau & Associates Inc 4.30% 2,393,682 $290.9M
19 Flat Footed LLC 4.30% 462,500 $56.2M
20 Murchinson Ltd. 4.28% 255,600 $31.0M
21 Murchinson Ltd. 4.28% 255,600 $31.0M
22 Picton Mahoney Asset Management 4.11% 4,578,596 $555.3M
23 Lorne Steinberg Wealth Management Inc. 4.05% 162,268 $19.7M
24 BRITISH COLUMBIA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT Corp 3.98% 5,234,126 $635.8M
25 Mackenzie Financial Corp 3.95% 22,892,530 $3.95B
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Toronto Dominion Bk Ont (TD)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TD?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TD?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 402 funds bought or added vs 378 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TD holders?

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds: 60 of 896 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in TD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TD?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 548 out of 904 hedge funds have held TD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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