Based on 55 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TBT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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Below peak — only 69% of 3.0Y high
69% of all-time peak
Only 55 funds hold TBT today versus a peak of 80 funds at 2023 Q1 — just 69% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 26% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
19 fewer hedge funds hold TBT compared to a year ago (-26% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Slight buying edge — 52% buying
28 buying26 selling
Last quarter: 28 funds bought or added vs 26 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TBT position: 6 → 15 → 6 → 13. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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65% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 65% conviction (2yr+)
■ 15% medium
■ 20% new
36 out of 55 hedge funds have held TBT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Steady discovery — ~13 new funds/quarter
24 → 6 → 15 → 6 → 13 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 15 → 6 → 13. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
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Deep conviction — 73% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 73% veterans
■ 6% 1-2yr
■ 21% new
Of 63 current holders: 46 (73%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Smaller funds dominant — 3% AUM from top-100
3% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 55 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 3% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 1.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.