Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

TRANSALTA CORP (TAC)

175 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TAC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — TAC

Based on 175 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TAC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
175 hedge funds hold TAC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +7% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+11 new funds entered over the past year (+7% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

106 buying77 selling
Last quarter: 106 funds bought or added vs 77 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 30 → 24 → 38 → 30. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years

55% conviction (2yr+) 27% medium 17% new
97 out of 175 hedge funds have held TAC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

29 → 30 → 24 → 38 → 30 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 30 → 24 → 38 → 30. A growing number of institutions are discovering TAC each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 60% of holders stayed 2+ years

60% veterans 18% 1-2yr 21% new
Of 187 current holders: 113 (60%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 175 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in TAC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TAC

In 2026 Q1, 106 hedge funds were net buyers of TAC (30 opened a new position, 76 added to an existing one), while 77 reduced or exited (50 trimmed, 27 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 49% of total institutional value in TAC is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 175.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TAC

How many hedge funds hold TAC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TAC vs. share price

Market Analysis: TAC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TAC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy TRANSALTA CORP (TAC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TAC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLU) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 52d ago
TAC
+3.5%
XLU
-1.2%

TAC outperformed XLU by +4.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 7d ago
TAC
+6.2%
XLU
+3.4%

Since the filing became public, TAC outperformed XLU by +2.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TAC
175 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TAC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 175 172 1.74%
13F Shares 219M 223M -1.61%
Total Value $2.88B $2.82B 2.01%
New Positions 30 38 -8
Increased Positions 72 51 +21
Closed Positions 27 30 -3
Reduced Positions 46 59 -13
Total Calls 11 10 10.0%
Total Puts 5 7 -28.57%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.45 0.7 Bullish

Statistics: TAC

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

175 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TAC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of TAC — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Arvin Capital Management LP 7.18% 4,488,235 $58.8M
2 Potrero Capital Research LLC 6.36% 790,373 $10.4M
3 Clayton Partners LLC 6.01% 631,406 $8.3M
4 Rubric Capital Management LP 2.47% 17,781,325 $232.9M
5 Tacita Capital Inc 1.73% 222,601 $2.9M
6 WESTERLY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 1.69% 475,000 $6.2M
7 OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 1.34% 6,415,253 $84.1M
8 Timelo Investment Management Inc. 1.08% 105,000 $1.4M
9 AREX Capital Management, LP 0.87% 40,000 $526K
10 Yaupon Capital Management LP 0.73% 1,788,700 $23.5M
11 INTACT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC. 0.54% 1,449,000 $19.0M
12 BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 0.48% 26,954,624 $354.3M
13 ARDSLEY ADVISORY PARTNERS LP 0.46% 275,000 $3.6M
14 Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd 0.29% 227,406 $3.0M
15 Two Seas Capital LP 0.29% 1,597,900 $20.9M
16 Hartree Partners, LP 0.28% 100,000 $1.3M
17 Purpose Unlimited Inc. 0.28% 514,589 $6.8M
18 Artemis Investment Management LLP 0.26% 1,875,520 $24.7M
19 AYAL Capital Advisors Ltd 0.23% 65,000 $852K
20 Rokos Capital Management LLP 0.23% 2,293,069 $30.1M
21 SIG North Trading, ULC 0.21% 787,900 $10.3M
22 BTG Pactual Asset Management US LLC 0.19% 169,173 $2.2M
23 Diametric Capital, LP 0.18% 54,067 $708K
24 Waratah Capital Advisors Ltd. 0.17% 340,000 $4.5M
25 Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC 0.16% 2,596,273 $34.1M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — TRANSALTA CORP (TAC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TAC?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TAC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TAC?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 106 funds bought or added vs 77 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TAC holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 37 of 175 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in TAC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TAC?

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 97 out of 175 hedge funds have held TAC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy TRANSALTA CORP (TAC) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TAC has moved +6.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +3.4% for the XLU sector ETF — an outperformance of +2.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TAC has gained +3.5% vs -1.2% for XLU. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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