Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Smurfit Westrock plc (SW)

630 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +20
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — SW

Based on 611 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SW than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
611 hedge funds hold SW right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +6% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+32 new funds entered over the past year (+6% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

363 buying261 selling
Last quarter: 363 funds bought or added vs 261 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~103 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 75 → 90 → 101 → 103. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 26% entered in last year

2% conviction (2yr+) 72% medium 26% new
Only 12 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

79 → 75 → 90 → 101 → 103 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 75 → 90 → 101 → 103. A growing number of institutions are discovering SW each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 2% veterans, 32% new entrants

2% veterans 66% 1-2yr 32% new
Of 622 current holders: 13 (2%) held 2+ years, 409 held 1–2 years, 200 (32%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds

62% from top-100 AUM funds
64 of 608 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in SW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SW

In 2026 Q1, 363 hedge funds were net buyers of SW (103 opened a new position, 260 added to an existing one), while 261 reduced or exited (178 trimmed, 83 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 62% of total institutional value in SW is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +20 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 611.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SW

How many hedge funds hold SW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SW vs. share price

Market Analysis: SW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SW

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 8 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SW
630 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 630 611 3.11%
13F Shares 503M 493M 2.05%
Total Value $22.80B $19.40B 17.52%
New Positions 105 103 +2
Increased Positions 264 258 +6
Closed Positions 83 83 -
Reduced Positions 187 174 +13
Total Calls 8 6 33.33%
Total Puts 9 8 12.5%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.12 1.33 Neutral

Statistics: SW

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

630 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 SW holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Trinity Street Asset Management LLP 12.53% 5,261,555 $243.4M
2 Exane Asset Management 10.68% 558,692 $29.5M
3 Holowesko Partners Ltd. 9.88% 844,000 $39.0M
4 Causeway Capital Management LLC 7.53% 15,039,041 $695.7M
5 Polaris Capital Management, LLC 7.13% 1,635,802 $75.7M
6 Redwood Grove Capital, LLC 5.87% 500,636 $23.2M
7 Oslo Pensjonsforsikring As 4.46% 839,077 $38.8M
8 Ruffer LLP 3.98% 2,438,889 $112.7M
9 Verbena Value LP 3.94% 515,100 $23.8M
10 Heights Point Management, LP 2.79% 75,720 $3.5M
11 Sound Shore Management Inc /Ct/ 2.61% 1,835,817 $84.9M
12 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 2.37% 2,608,298 $120.7M
13 Foresight Group Ltd Liability Partnership 2.24% 270,883 $12.4M
14 Patten & Patten Inc/Tn 1.89% 772,292 $35.7M
15 Old North State Wealth Management, LLC 1.87% 94,495 $4.4M
16 Broyhill Asset Management, LLC 1.86% 45,109 $2.1M
17 Agman Capital LLC 1.81% 62,026 $2.9M
18 Lakewood Capital Management, LP 1.73% 727,897 $33.7M
19 Triodos Investment Management BV 1.65% 586,314 $27.1M
20 Van Den Berg Management I, Inc 1.53% 156,841 $7.3M
21 Ramirez Asset Management, Inc. 1.50% 312,251 $14.4M
22 Arnhold LLC 1.48% 457,931 $21.2M
23 Albar Capital Partners LLP 1.30% 215,662 $10.0M
24 Mirova US LLC 1.18% 2,363,387 $109.3M
25 Beverly Hills Private Wealth, LLC 1.09% 123,600 $5.7M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Smurfit Westrock plc (SW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SW?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SW than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for SW?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 363 funds bought or added vs 261 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for SW holders?

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds: 64 of 608 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in SW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SW?

Mostly new holders — 26% entered in last year: Only 12 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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