Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
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Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl (STX)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in STX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +192
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — STX

Based on 1456 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added STX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,456 hedge funds hold STX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +85% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+671 new funds entered over the past year (+85% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

823 buying636 selling
Last quarter: 823 funds bought or added vs 636 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+61 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new STX position: 243 → 274 → 254 → 315. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

49% of holders stayed for 2+ years

49% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 32% new
711 out of 1,456 hedge funds have held STX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+31% value, -7% shares)

Value
+30%
Shares
-6%
Last quarter: total value of institutional STX holdings rose +31% even though funds reduced share count by 7%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

100 → 243 → 274 → 254 → 315 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 243 → 274 → 254 → 315. A growing number of institutions are discovering STX each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 58% veterans vs 35% newcomers

58% veterans 7% 1-2yr 35% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,530 holders: 885 (58%) are 2+ year veterans, 112 entered 1–2 years ago, and 533 (35%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
65 of 1446 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in STX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.7
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.7/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — STX

In 2026 Q1, 823 hedge funds were net buyers of STX (315 opened a new position, 508 added to an existing one), while 636 reduced or exited (513 trimmed, 123 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 44% of total institutional value in STX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +192 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 1456.

Hedge Fund Ownership: STX

How many hedge funds hold STX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of STX vs. share price

Market Analysis: STX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: STX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl (STX) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much STX has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 76d ago
STX
+137.7%
XLK
+39.1%

STX outperformed XLK by +98.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 31d ago
STX
+17.0%
XLK
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, STX outperformed XLK by +12.2% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

81 top-rated funds 33 high-conviction
Consensus
8.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
8.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: STX
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in STX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1441 1264 14.0%
13F Shares 196M 211M -6.93%
Total Value $75.43B $57.75B 30.61%
New Positions 311 254 +57
Increased Positions 486 433 +53
Closed Positions 134 103 +31
Reduced Positions 484 410 +74
Total Calls 37 33 12.12%
Total Puts 45 45 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.22 1.36 Bearish

Statistics: STX

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in STX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 STX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Atalan Capital Partners, LP 25.95% 718,800 $281.6M
2 Ariose Capital Management Ltd 25.41% 96,600 $37.8M
3 Oxbow Capital Management (HK) Ltd 20.09% 190,213 $74.5M
4 Central Asset Investments & Management Holdings (HK) Ltd 14.60% 40,086 $15.7M
5 Aufman Associates Inc 12.59% 65,507 $25.7M
6 Amanah Holdings Trust 12.50% 289,774 $113.5M
7 Cacti Asset Management LLC 12.24% 526,005 $202.0M
8 Panoramic Capital, LLC 10.58% 38,476 $15.1M
9 Rivermont Capital Management LP 10.08% 122,125 $47.8M
10 Twin Lakes Capital Management, LLC 8.77% 49,228 $19.3M
11 Avala Global LP 7.14% 379,430 $148.6M
12 Potrero Capital Research LLC 6.81% 28,340 $11.1M
13 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 6.81% 533,985 $209.2M
14 KEYWISE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT (HK) Ltd 6.39% 102,784 $40.3M
15 Sanders Capital, LLC 6.02% 12,897,201 $5.05B
16 Trivest Advisors Ltd 5.87% 208,000 $81.5M
17 Palestra Capital Management LLC 4.49% 294,000 $115.2M
18 Pinpoint Asset Management (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. 4.33% 47,806 $18.7M
19 Attestor Capital Ltd 4.05% 39,222 $15.4M
20 Fortis Advisors, LLC 4.04% 20,575 $8.1M
21 WT Asset Management Ltd 4.02% 489,785 $191.9M
22 Dedeker Financial LLC 3.99% 11,694 $4.6M
23 Katamaran Capital LLP 3.66% 11,623 $4.6M
24 Apis Capital Advisors, LLC 3.60% 59,600 $23.3M
25 Wcm Investment Management, LLC 3.60% 4,346,852 $1.58B
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl (STX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for STX?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added STX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for STX?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 823 funds bought or added vs 636 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for STX holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 65 of 1446 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in STX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held STX?

49% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 711 out of 1,456 hedge funds have held STX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Seagate Technology Hldngs Pl (STX) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, STX has moved +17.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +12.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), STX has gained +137.7% vs +39.1% for XLK. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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