Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Stoneco Ltd (STNE)

276 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in STNE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -14
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — STNE

Based on 279 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their STNE positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (95% of max)

95% of all-time peak
279 hedge funds hold STNE right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +11% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+28 new funds entered over the past year (+11% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

138 buying157 selling
Last quarter: 157 funds reduced or exited vs 138 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-33 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 67 → 57 → 81 → 48. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years

52% conviction (2yr+) 25% medium 23% new
145 out of 279 hedge funds have held STNE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~48 new funds/quarter

60 → 67 → 57 → 81 → 48 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 67 → 57 → 81 → 48. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 22% newcomers

63% veterans 15% 1-2yr 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 292 holders: 185 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 43 entered 1–2 years ago, and 64 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds

34% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 272 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — STNE

In 2026 Q1, 138 hedge funds were net buyers of STNE (48 opened a new position, 90 added to an existing one), while 157 reduced or exited (95 trimmed, 62 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 34% of total institutional value in STNE is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -14 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 279.

Hedge Fund Ownership: STNE

How many hedge funds hold STNE — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of STNE vs. share price

Market Analysis: STNE

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: STNE

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Stoneco Ltd (STNE) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much STNE has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 77d ago
STNE
-22.2%
XLK
+44.3%

STNE outperformed XLK by -66.5% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 32d ago
STNE
+14.4%
XLK
+8.8%

Since the filing became public, STNE outperformed XLK by +5.6% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: STNE
276 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in STNE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 276 293 -5.8%
13F Shares 179M 181M -0.73%
Total Value $2.45B $2.64B -7.24%
New Positions 46 81 -35
Increased Positions 85 97 -12
Closed Positions 63 67 -4
Reduced Positions 90 78 +12
Total Calls 11 14 -21.43%
Total Puts 8 10 -20.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.73 0.71 Neutral

Statistics: STNE

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

276 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in STNE. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 STNE holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 BRC-Global BAH Investments Ltd. 100.00% 7,580,409 $107.0M
2 Madrone Advisors, LLC 34.81% 25,339,276 $357.8M
3 JGP Global Gestao de Recursos Ltda. 28.98% 475,123 $6.7M
4 Sharp Capital Gestora de Recursos Ltda. 12.87% 1,751,289 $24.7M
5 Squadra Investments - Gestao de Recursos LTDA. 10.52% 6,662,253 $94.1M
6 SPX Gestao de Recursos Ltda 9.06% 7,728,014 $109.1M
7 Navi International - Administradora e Gestora de Recursos Financeiros Ltda. 8.37% 1,159,765 $17.2M
8 ABS Direct Equity Fund LLC 4.40% 480,350 $5.8M
9 Vinland Capital Management Gestora de Recursos LTDA. 1.84% 64,608 $912K
10 Truffle Hound Capital, LLC 1.46% 400,000 $5.6M
11 one8zero8, LLC 1.09% 345,225 $4.9M
12 Incline Global Management LLC 0.73% 131,476 $1.9M
13 Prairie Wealth Advisors, Inc. 0.49% $1.1M
14 Fairtree Asset Management (Pty) Ltd 0.32% 49,517 $699K
15 Atom Investors LP 0.24% 233,335 $3.3M
16 PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. 0.22% 100,000 $1.4M
17 GatePass Capital, LLC 0.20% 30,000 $424K
18 Tandem Capital Management Corp /Adv 0.19% 26,534 $375K
19 Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. 0.18% 517,057 $7.6M
20 nVerses Capital, LLC 0.16% 12,687 $179K
21 Absolute Gestao de Investimentos Ltda. 0.14% 88,534 $1.3M
22 Fieldview Capital Management, LLC 0.14% 34,001 $480K
23 9823 Capital, L.P. 0.14% 12,757 $180K
24 Aster Capital Management (DIFC) Ltd 0.13% 37,643 $394K
25 Schwartz Investment Counsel Inc 0.13% 256,400 $3.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Stoneco Ltd (STNE)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for STNE?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their STNE positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for STNE?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 157 funds reduced or exited vs 138 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for STNE holders?

Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds: 45 of 272 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held STNE?

52% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 145 out of 279 hedge funds have held STNE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Stoneco Ltd (STNE) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, STNE has moved +14.4% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +8.8% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +5.6%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), STNE has gained -22.2% vs +44.3% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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