Based on 45 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added SPDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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High ownership — 76% of 3.0Y peak
76% of all-time peak
45 funds currently hold this stock — 76% of the 3.0-year high of 59 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Steady growth — +10% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+4 new funds entered over the past year (+10% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction. The peak was reached in just 2 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 60% buying
31 buying21 selling
Last quarter: 31 funds were net buyers (13 opened a brand new position + 18 added to an existing one). Only 21 were sellers (12 trimmed + 9 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
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More new buyers each quarter (+8 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new SPDN position: 27 → 9 → 5 → 13. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
62% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 62% conviction (2yr+)
■ 24% medium
■ 13% new
28 out of 45 hedge funds have held SPDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
14 → 27 → 9 → 5 → 13 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 27 → 9 → 5 → 13. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 74% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 74% veterans
■ 9% 1-2yr
■ 17% new
Of 46 current holders: 34 (74%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Smaller funds dominant — 4% AUM from top-100
4% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 45 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 4% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.