Stock Analysis

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (SMWB)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
44%

Smart Money Signals — SMWB

Based on 78 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 80% of 3.0Y peak

80% of all-time peak
78 funds currently hold this stock — 80% of the 3.0-year high of 97 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 20% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
19 fewer hedge funds hold this stock compared to a year ago (-20% decline). When institutions consistently reduce exposure, it's worth asking what they know that retail investors don't.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying

37 buying47 selling
Last quarter: 47 funds reduced or exited vs 37 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 23 → 18 → 8 → 14. A growing number of new institutional buyers means the stock is still being discovered — the opportunity hasn't been fully priced in.
🔒

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years

47% conviction (2yr+) 36% medium 17% new
37 out of 78 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +5%, value -15%

Value
-15%
Shares
+5%
Last quarter: funds added +5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -15%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

21 → 23 → 18 → 8 → 14 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 23 → 18 → 8 → 14. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 55% of holders stayed 2+ years

55% veterans 23% 1-2yr 23% new
Of 84 current holders: 46 (55%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.

Strong quality — 22% from major AUM funds

22% from top-100 AUM funds
17 of 78 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SMWB

How many hedge funds hold SMWB — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SMWB vs. share price

Market Analysis: SMWB

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Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SMWB

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Hedge Fund Positioning: SMWB
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: SMWB

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed