Based on 441 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SMR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
441 hedge funds hold SMR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +52% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+151 new funds entered over the past year (+52% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡
Slight buying edge — 53% buying
284 buying254 selling
Last quarter: 284 funds bought or added vs 254 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new SMR position: 86 → 151 → 109 → 116. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 41% entered in last year
■ 23% conviction (2yr+)
■ 36% medium
■ 41% new
Only 101 funds (23%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +31%, value -48%
Last quarter: funds added +31% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -48%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~116 new funds/quarter
123 → 86 → 151 → 109 → 116 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 86 → 151 → 109 → 116. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 57% of holders entered in last year
■ 28% veterans
■ 15% 1-2yr
■ 57% new
Of 483 current holders: 275 (57%) entered in the past year, only 136 (28%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 26% AUM from major funds
26% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 441 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 26% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.