Based on 104 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SMOT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
104 hedge funds hold SMOT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +7% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+7 new funds entered over the past year (+7% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
48 buying54 selling
Last quarter: 54 funds reduced or exited vs 48 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~15 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 13 → 9 → 19 → 15. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌
Mixed — 35% long-term, 20% new
■ 35% conviction (2yr+)
■ 45% medium
■ 20% new
Of the 104 current holders: 36 (35%) held >2 years, 47 held 1–2 years, and 21 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
12 → 13 → 9 → 19 → 15 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 13 → 9 → 19 → 15. A growing number of institutions are discovering SMOT each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 41% veterans vs 26% newcomers
■ 41% veterans
■ 33% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Entry-cohort mix of 104 holders: 43 (41%) are 2+ year veterans, 34 entered 1–2 years ago, and 27 (26%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅
Strong quality — 31% AUM from major funds
31% from top-100 AUM funds
15 of 104 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 31% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.