Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
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Vaneck ETF Trust (SMH)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SMH. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +280
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
60%

Smart Money Signals — SMH

Based on 1614 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SMH than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,614 hedge funds hold SMH right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +56% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+580 new funds entered over the past year (+56% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying

925 buying620 selling
Last quarter: 925 funds were net buyers (380 opened a brand new position + 545 added to an existing one). Only 620 were sellers (520 trimmed + 100 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+158 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new SMH position: 148 → 250 → 222 → 380. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

40% of holders stayed for 2+ years

40% conviction (2yr+) 27% medium 33% new
641 out of 1,614 hedge funds have held SMH for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +229% but shares only +88% — price-driven

Value
+228%
Shares
+87%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +229%, but actual share count only changed +88%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

225 → 148 → 250 → 222 → 380 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 148 → 250 → 222 → 380. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 47% veterans vs 37% newcomers

47% veterans 16% 1-2yr 37% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,743 holders: 823 (47%) are 2+ year veterans, 275 entered 1–2 years ago, and 645 (37%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 57% AUM from top-100 funds

57% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 1550 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 57% of total institutional value in SMH. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SMH

In 2026 Q2, 925 hedge funds were net buyers of SMH (380 opened a new position, 545 added to an existing one), while 620 reduced or exited (520 trimmed, 100 sold completely) — a 60% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 57% of total institutional value in SMH is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +280 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 1614.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SMH

How many hedge funds hold SMH — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SMH vs. share price

Market Analysis: SMH

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SMH

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Vaneck ETF Trust (SMH) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much SMH has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 81d ago
SMH
-12.6%
SPY
+2.1%

SMH outperformed SPY by -14.7% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 36d ago
SMH
-2.5%
SPY
-1.8%

Since the filing became public, SMH outperformed SPY by -0.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

36 top-rated funds 63 high-conviction
Consensus
6.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SMH
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SMH. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1538 1334 15.29%
13F Shares 235M 125M 87.87%
Total Value $159.98B $48.68B 228.63%
New Positions 375 222 +153
Increased Positions 531 489 +42
Closed Positions 107 110 -3
Reduced Positions 474 385 +89
Total Calls 63 41 53.66%
Total Puts 128 82 56.1%
PUT/CALL Ratio 2.03 2.0 Bearish

Statistics: SMH

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SMH. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 SMH holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Compass Rose Asset Management, LP 72.21% 3,913,000 $2.57B
2 Great Hill Capital LLC 59.07% 6,264,500 $2.54B
3 Dymon Asia Capital (singapore) PTE. LTD. 38.22% 1,393,500 $914.0M
4 TRB Advisors LP 28.17% 100,000 $65.6M
5 Polymer Capital Management (HK) LTD 28.04% 844,500 $553.9M
6 Markin Volterra Fund LP 27.24% 61,000 $40.0M
7 University of Wisconsin Foundation 22.77% 43,838 $28.8M
8 Provident Co of the Employees of the Hebrew University LTD 22.23% 44,336 $29.1M
9 Cerity Partners OCIO LLC 19.16% 577,281 $378.6M
10 Jasper Ridge Partners, L.P. 15.63% 1,117,575 $733.0M
11 Cavalier Investments, LLC 15.53% 570,000 $373.9M
12 Spider Management Company, LLC 12.99% 97,744 $64.1M
13 Yahav Achim Ve Achayot - Provident Funds Management Co Ltd. 11.97% 26,245 $17.2M
14 Arrowpoint Investment Partners (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. 11.43% 80,000 $52.5M
15 Portfolio Strategies, Inc. 11.29% 175,468 $115.1M
16 Lotus Technology Management, LP 11.03% 12,291 $9.0M
17 Rezny Wealth Management, Inc. 10.52% 92,798 $60.9M
18 M & L Capital Management Ltd 10.48% 59,100 $38.8M
19 Langley Wealth Management, LLC 10.16% 2,353 $1.5M
20 URS Advisory LLC 9.24% 25,302 $16.6M
21 Marcho Partners LLP 9.14% 24,500 $16.1M
22 Plotkin Financial Advisors, LLC 9.13% 33,547 $22.0M
23 Navigation Group, LLC 8.37% 65,575 $43.0M
24 Summit Partners Public Asset Management, LLC 8.23% 714,000 $468.3M
25 Arosa Capital Management LP 8.18% 70,000 $45.9M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Vaneck ETF Trust (SMH)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SMH?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SMH than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for SMH?

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying: Last quarter: 925 funds were net buyers (380 opened a brand new position + 545 added to an existing one). Only 620 were sellers (520 trimmed + 100 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for SMH holders?

Elite ownership — 57% AUM from top-100 funds: 40 of 1550 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 57% of total institutional value in SMH. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SMH?

40% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 641 out of 1,614 hedge funds have held SMH for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Vaneck ETF Trust (SMH) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, SMH has moved -2.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -1.8% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -0.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), SMH has gained -12.6% vs +2.1% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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