Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)

713 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SMCI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -35
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — SMCI

Based on 716 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SMCI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 73% of 3.0Y peak

73% of all-time peak
716 funds currently hold this stock — 73% of the 3.0-year high of 975 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 4% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
33 fewer hedge funds hold SMCI compared to a year ago (-4% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

400 buying416 selling
Last quarter: 416 funds reduced or exited vs 400 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-12 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 179 → 151 → 120 → 108. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

51% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 51% conviction (2yr+) ■ 29% medium ■ 20% new
366 out of 716 hedge funds have held SMCI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +1%, value -22%

Value
-21%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: funds added +1% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -22%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

170 → 179 → 151 → 120 → 108 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 179 → 151 → 120 → 108. SMCI is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 54% veterans vs 22% newcomers

■ 54% veterans ■ 23% 1-2yr ■ 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 801 holders: 435 (54%) are 2+ year veterans, 187 entered 1–2 years ago, and 179 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
62 of 699 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in SMCI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SMCI

In 2026 Q1, 400 hedge funds were net buyers of SMCI (108 opened a new position, 292 added to an existing one), while 416 reduced or exited (273 trimmed, 143 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 44% of total institutional value in SMCI is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -35 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 716.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SMCI

How many hedge funds hold SMCI — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SMCI vs. share price

Market Analysis: SMCI

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SMCI

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much SMCI has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
SMCI
+28.3%
XLK
+40.3%

SMCI outperformed XLK by -12.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
SMCI
-5.9%
XLK
+5.8%

Since the filing became public, SMCI outperformed XLK by -11.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

51 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
7.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SMCI
713 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SMCI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 713 751 -5.06%
13F Shares 509M 503M 1.28%
Total Value $11.68B $14.90B -21.63%
New Positions 107 120 -13
Increased Positions 267 248 +19
Closed Positions 145 210 -65
Reduced Positions 249 300 -51
Total Calls 46 50 -8.0%
Total Puts 53 47 12.77%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.15 0.94 Neutral

Statistics: SMCI

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value --
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Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

713 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SMCI. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 SMCI holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Nepsis Inc. 2.73% 358,411 $8.2M
2 BLKBRD Asset Management, LP 2.42% 40,658 $926K
3 Disciplined Growth Investors Inc /Mn 2.32% 4,987,159 $113.6M
4 HERALD INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT Ltd 2.22% 699,500 $15.9M
5 Defiance ETFs, LLC 2.03% 6,220,438 $141.6M
6 Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP 1.92% 2,324,700 $52.9M
7 Needham Investment Management LLC 1.88% 1,616,500 $36.8M
8 Kultura Capital Management LP 1.82% 509,900 $11.6M
9 RPG Investment Advisory, LLC 1.42% 517,012 $11.8M
10 Whitebox Advisors LLC 1.29% 4,600,000 $104.7M
11 Diversify Advisory Services, LLC 1.21% 301,620 $7.9M
12 Board of the Pension Protection Fund 1.17% 56,100 $1.3M
13 DSC Meridian Capital LP 1.05% 150,000 $3.4M
14 Centric Wealth Management 1.02% 183,000 $5.1M
15 Integrated Financial Solutions, Inc. 1.02% 64,775 $1.5M
16 Ironwood Investment Management LLC 0.99% 104,318 $2.4M
17 Kassira Wealth Management LLC 0.98% 47,046 $1.1M
18 Wolverine Asset Management LLC 0.89% 4,058,000 $92.4M
19 Edmp, INC. 0.80% 43,721 $996K
20 Ardmore Road Asset Management LP 0.79% 525,000 $12.0M
21 Navellier & Associates Inc 0.75% 315,592 $7.2M
22 Dba Trading, LLC 0.66% 58,000 $1.3M
23 Z3 Capital Partners, LLC 0.63% 89,769 $2.6M
24 Longitude (Cayman) Ltd. 0.58% 62,500 $1.4M
25 Bouvel Investment Partners, LLC 0.58% 87,197 $2.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SMCI?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SMCI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for SMCI?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 416 funds reduced or exited vs 400 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for SMCI holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 62 of 699 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in SMCI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SMCI?

51% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 366 out of 716 hedge funds have held SMCI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, SMCI has moved -5.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of -11.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), SMCI has gained +28.3% vs +40.3% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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