Based on 325 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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High ownership — 80% of 3.0Y peak
80% of all-time peak
325 funds currently hold this stock — 80% of the 3.0-year high of 407 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 20% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
82 fewer hedge funds hold SM compared to a year ago (-20% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 43% buying
174 buying227 selling
Last quarter: 227 funds reduced or exited vs 174 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
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More new buyers each quarter (+10 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new SM position: 66 → 34 → 56 → 66. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
66% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 66% conviction (2yr+)
■ 21% medium
■ 13% new
215 out of 325 hedge funds have held SM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Buying through price weakness — shares -5%, value -50%
Last quarter: funds added -5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -50%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
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Growing discovery — still being found
67 → 66 → 34 → 56 → 66 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 66 → 34 → 56 → 66. A growing number of institutions are discovering SM each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 74% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 74% veterans
■ 9% 1-2yr
■ 17% new
Of 342 current holders: 253 (74%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds
45% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 325 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in SM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.