Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Shopify Inc (SHOP)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SHOP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -11
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — SHOP

Based on 1721 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SHOP positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
1,721 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 1,867 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +11% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+167 new funds entered over the past year (+11% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

824 buying877 selling
Last quarter: 877 funds reduced or exited vs 824 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-21 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 276 → 313 → 194 → 173. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 60% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 18% new
1,030 out of 1,721 hedge funds have held SHOP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

247 → 276 → 313 → 194 → 173 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 276 → 313 → 194 → 173. SHOP is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 22% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,815 holders: 1,168 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 250 entered 1–2 years ago, and 397 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 60% AUM from top-100 funds

60% from top-100 AUM funds
67 of 1709 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 60% of total institutional value in SHOP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SHOP

In 2026 Q2, 824 hedge funds were net buyers of SHOP (173 opened a new position, 651 added to an existing one), while 877 reduced or exited (693 trimmed, 184 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 60% of total institutional value in SHOP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -11 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1721.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SHOP

How many hedge funds hold SHOP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SHOP vs. share price

Market Analysis: SHOP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SHOP

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Shopify Inc (SHOP) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much SHOP has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 78d ago
SHOP
+14.3%
XLK
-3.6%

SHOP outperformed XLK by +17.9% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 33d ago
SHOP
-15.5%
XLK
-3.3%

Since the filing became public, SHOP outperformed XLK by -12.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

49 top-rated funds 21 high-conviction
Consensus
7.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SHOP
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SHOP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1697 1732 -2.02%
13F Shares 899M 855M 5.11%
Total Value $98.01B $97.82B 0.19%
New Positions 169 194 -25
Increased Positions 628 663 -35
Closed Positions 192 328 -136
Reduced Positions 656 614 +42
Total Calls 50 49 2.04%
Total Puts 55 50 10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.1 1.02 Neutral

Statistics: SHOP

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SHOP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 SHOP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Barton Investment Management 24.45% 1,580,601 $180.5M
2 Ashe Capital Management, LP 18.91% 1,542,738 $176.1M
3 Islander Capital Partners, L.P. 13.50% 326,000 $37.2M
4 Marcho Partners LLP 12.22% 188,235 $21.5M
5 Square Peg Capital Pty Ltd 12.03% 80,300 $9.2M
6 Strategy Capital LLC 11.28% 1,602,908 $183.0M
7 Ampersand Capital Group, L.P. 10.96% 212,763 $24.3M
8 Arthedge Capital Management, LLC 10.43% 146,600 $16.7M
9 Privium Fund Management B.V. 7.76% 370,000 $42.2M
10 Meadowbrook Wealth Management, LLC 6.72% 54,614 $6.2M
11 Gavilan Investment Partners LLC 6.39% 230,000 $26.3M
12 Mufg Securities (canada), LTD. 5.31% 1,725,549 $197.1M
13 Amova Asset Management Americas, Inc. 4.96% 3,366,810 $384.5M
14 Edgewood Management LLC 4.84% 4,107,065 $468.9M
15 Stony Point Capital LLC 4.83% 651,765 $74.4M
16 ThornTree Capital Partners LP 4.80% 307,137 $35.1M
17 Polen Capital Management LLC 4.50% 4,577,524 $522.7M
18 Newlands Management Operations LLC 4.36% 6,325,050 $722.2M
19 Synergy Financial Group, LTD 4.18% 50,860 $5.8M
20 Nepsis Inc. 4.14% 107,028 $12.2M
21 Deepwater Asset Management, LLC 3.92% 75,511 $8.6M
22 Bellecapital International Ltd. 3.90% 213,669 $24.4M
23 Exane Asset Management 3.69% 78,325 $10.2M
24 Manchester Global Management (UK) Ltd 3.69% 292,956 $33.4M
25 Dash Acquisitions Inc. 3.66% 120,284 $18.1M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Shopify Inc (SHOP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SHOP?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SHOP positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for SHOP?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 877 funds reduced or exited vs 824 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for SHOP holders?

Elite ownership — 60% AUM from top-100 funds: 67 of 1709 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 60% of total institutional value in SHOP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SHOP?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,030 out of 1,721 hedge funds have held SHOP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Shopify Inc (SHOP) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, SHOP has moved -15.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -3.3% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of -12.2%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), SHOP has gained +14.3% vs -3.6% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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