Stock Analysis

SILVERBOX CORP IV SHS CL A (SBXD)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
42%

Smart Money Signals — SBXD

Based on 39 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 87% of 3.0Y peak

87% of all-time peak
39 funds currently hold this stock — 87% of the 3.0-year high of 45 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +70% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+70% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 42% buying

14 buying19 selling
Last quarter: 19 funds reduced or exited vs 14 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~7 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 15 → 5 → 7. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 38% entered in last year

3% conviction (2yr+) 59% medium 38% new
Only 1 funds (3%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -2%, value -100%

Value
-99%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: funds added -2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -100%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

22 → 12 → 15 → 5 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 15 → 5 → 7. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 92% of holders entered in last year

8% veterans 0% 1-2yr 92% new
Of 39 current holders: 36 (92%) entered in the past year, only 3 (8%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.

Strong quality — 21% from major AUM funds

21% from top-100 AUM funds
8 of 39 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SBXD

How many hedge funds hold SBXD — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SBXD vs. share price

Market Analysis: SBXD

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Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SBXD

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Hedge Fund Positioning: SBXD
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: SBXD

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed