Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Sibanye Stillwater Ltd (SBSW)

256 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SBSW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -15
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — SBSW

Based on 263 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SBSW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (95% of max)

95% of all-time peak
263 hedge funds hold SBSW right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +18% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+41 new funds entered over the past year (+18% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

134 buying159 selling
Last quarter: 159 funds reduced or exited vs 134 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-14 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 66 → 61 → 57 → 43. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

49% of holders stayed for 2+ years

49% conviction (2yr+) 24% medium 27% new
129 out of 263 hedge funds have held SBSW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -31%

Value
-31%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -31%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

70 → 66 → 61 → 57 → 43 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 66 → 61 → 57 → 43. SBSW is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 29% newcomers

61% veterans 10% 1-2yr 29% new
Entry-cohort mix of 287 holders: 174 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 30 entered 1–2 years ago, and 83 (29%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds

36% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 257 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SBSW

In 2026 Q2, 134 hedge funds were net buyers of SBSW (43 opened a new position, 91 added to an existing one), while 159 reduced or exited (101 trimmed, 58 sold completely) — a 46% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 36% of total institutional value in SBSW is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -15 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 263.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SBSW

How many hedge funds hold SBSW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SBSW vs. share price

Market Analysis: SBSW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SBSW

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Sibanye Stillwater Ltd (SBSW) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much SBSW has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 85d ago
SBSW
+31.1%
SPY
+3.3%

SBSW outperformed SPY by +27.8% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 40d ago
SBSW
+7.8%
SPY
-0.7%

Since the filing became public, SBSW outperformed SPY by +8.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

10 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
4.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SBSW
256 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SBSW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 256 278 -7.91%
13F Shares 137M 148M -6.99%
Total Value $1.15B $1.68B -31.33%
New Positions 43 57 -14
Increased Positions 86 115 -29
Closed Positions 59 53 +6
Reduced Positions 91 73 +18
Total Calls 20 20 -
Total Puts 10 11 -9.09%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.55 Bullish

Statistics: SBSW

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

256 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SBSW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 SBSW holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 6.24% 1,588,307 $13.5M
2 Condire Management, LP 5.21% 5,244,469 $44.5M
3 Lingotto Investment Management LLP 3.47% 19,075,936 $162.0M
4 Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC 2.24% 4,580,794 $38.9M
5 TSP Capital Management Group, LLC 2.23% 1,097,375 $9.3M
6 BCGM Wealth Management, LLC 0.78% 435,204 $3.7M
7 Turas Capital Management LP 0.45% 115,863 $984K
8 Converium Capital Inc. 0.43% 400,000 $3.4M
9 Cadence Wealth Management LLC 0.39% 102,815 $873K
10 Nokomis Capital, L.L.C. 0.34% 120,666 $1.0M
11 Papamarkou Wellner Asset Management inc. 0.31% 57,719 $490K
12 Stanley-Laman Group, Ltd. 0.27% 310,565 $2.6M
13 Steadtrust LLC 0.26% 61,000 $518K
14 U S Global Investors Inc 0.22% 275,000 $2.3M
15 Petra Financial Advisors Inc 0.22% 55,667 $473K
16 BlueCrest Capital Management Ltd 0.21% 763,107 $6.5M
17 Bridgewater Associates, LP 0.20% 5,691,634 $48.3M
18 Blueshift Asset Management, LLC 0.19% 94,675 $804K
19 De Lisle Partners LLP 0.16% 170,000 $1.4M
20 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.14% 156,819 $1.3M
21 Ramirez Asset Management, Inc. 0.12% 139,557 $1.2M
22 Abbington Investment Group 0.12% 22,511 $191K
23 Glenorchy Capital Ltd 0.12% 380,466 $3.2M
24 Manatuck Hill Partners, LLC 0.11% 40,600 $345K
25 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.11% 96,025 $815K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Sibanye Stillwater Ltd (SBSW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SBSW?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their SBSW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for SBSW?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 159 funds reduced or exited vs 134 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for SBSW holders?

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds: 37 of 257 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held SBSW?

49% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 129 out of 263 hedge funds have held SBSW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Sibanye Stillwater Ltd (SBSW) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, SBSW has moved +7.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -0.7% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +8.5%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), SBSW has gained +31.1% vs +3.3% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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