Based on 318 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ROAD positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (99% of max)
99% of all-time peak
318 hedge funds hold ROAD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+45 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 46% buying
154 buying181 selling
Last quarter: 181 funds reduced or exited vs 154 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ROAD position: 49 → 72 → 45 → 51. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
44% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 44% conviction (2yr+)
■ 33% medium
■ 23% new
140 out of 318 hedge funds have held ROAD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
55 → 49 → 72 → 45 → 51 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 49 → 72 → 45 → 51. ROAD is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 49% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 49% veterans
■ 17% 1-2yr
■ 34% new
Of 324 current holders: 158 (49%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds
45% from top-100 AUM funds
38 of 318 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in ROAD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.