Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Rio Tinto plc (RIO)

959 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in RIO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +30
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — RIO

Based on 973 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RIO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
973 hedge funds hold RIO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +31% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+232 new funds entered over the past year (+31% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

527 buying389 selling
Last quarter: 527 funds bought or added vs 389 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-34 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 98 → 183 → 162 → 128. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 23% new
570 out of 973 hedge funds have held RIO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~128 new funds/quarter

85 → 98 → 183 → 162 → 128 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 98 → 183 → 162 → 128. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 65% veterans vs 25% newcomers

■ 65% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,010 holders: 655 (65%) are 2+ year veterans, 104 entered 1–2 years ago, and 251 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 67% AUM from top-100 funds

67% from top-100 AUM funds
57 of 963 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 67% of total institutional value in RIO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — RIO

In 2026 Q2, 527 hedge funds were net buyers of RIO (128 opened a new position, 399 added to an existing one), while 389 reduced or exited (291 trimmed, 98 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 67% of total institutional value in RIO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +30 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 973.

Hedge Fund Ownership: RIO

How many hedge funds hold RIO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of RIO vs. share price

Market Analysis: RIO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: RIO

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: RIO
959 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in RIO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 959 943 1.7%
13F Shares 138M 136M 1.29%
Total Value $12.76B $12.33B 3.45%
New Positions 127 162 -35
Increased Positions 382 336 +46
Closed Positions 101 94 +7
Reduced Positions 284 275 +9
Total Calls 24 28 -14.29%
Total Puts 21 26 -19.23%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.88 0.93 Neutral

Statistics: RIO

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

959 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in RIO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 RIO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Palliser Capital (UK) Ltd 54.41% 1,066,331 $101.2M
2 TLS Advisors LLC 13.96% 49,998 $4.7M
3 Foresight Global Investors, Inc. 4.98% 86,466 $8.2M
4 Transmarket Holdings LP 4.23% 60,773 $5.8M
5 Abc Arbitrage SA 4.16% 406,269 $38.6M
6 Mh & Associates Securities Management Corp /Adv 3.90% 45,841 $4.4M
7 SPX Gestao de Recursos Ltda 3.26% 308,586 $29.3M
8 QSM Asset Management Ltd 2.66% 54,057 $5.1M
9 Morgan Dempsey Capital Management LLC 2.18% 53,677 $5.1M
10 Ssa Swiss Advisors AG 2.01% 48,382 $4.3M
11 Elevated Private Wealth, LLC 1.88% 20,948 $2.0M
12 Oak Harvest Investment Services 1.76% 198,264 $18.8M
13 Harding Loevner LP 1.75% 1,941,326 $186.1M
14 Trust Investment Advisors 1.63% 35,915 $3.4M
15 Altshuler Shaham Ltd 1.59% 1,344,000 $127.6M
16 Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP 1.53% 112,000 $10.6M
17 Todd Asset Management LLC 1.48% 876,896 $83.2M
18 Old West Investment Management, LLC 1.47% 145,736 $13.8M
19 Greenline Partners, LLC 1.40% 144,459 $13.7M
20 Abbington Investment Group 1.39% 23,056 $2.2M
21 Banco BTG Pactual S.A. 1.37% 170,511 $16.2M
22 Pacific Heights Asset Management LLC 1.35% 450,000 $42.7M
23 Lee Johnson Capital Management, LLC 1.35% 45,393 $4.3M
24 Uncommon Cents Investing LLC 1.26% 61,057 $5.8M
25 Milford Funds Ltd 1.24% 800,895 $76.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Rio Tinto plc (RIO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for RIO?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RIO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for RIO?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 527 funds bought or added vs 389 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for RIO holders?

Elite ownership — 67% AUM from top-100 funds: 57 of 963 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 67% of total institutional value in RIO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held RIO?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 570 out of 973 hedge funds have held RIO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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