Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Rio Tinto plc (RIO)

928 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in RIO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +64
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — RIO

Based on 938 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RIO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
938 hedge funds hold RIO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +22% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+168 new funds entered over the past year (+22% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

510 buying375 selling
Last quarter: 510 funds bought or added vs 375 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-23 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 84 → 98 → 182 → 159. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 57% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 23% new
535 out of 938 hedge funds have held RIO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

102 → 84 → 98 → 182 → 159 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 84 → 98 → 182 → 159. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 26% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 26% new
Entry-cohort mix of 983 holders: 628 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 103 entered 1–2 years ago, and 252 (26%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds

66% from top-100 AUM funds
54 of 927 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in RIO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — RIO

In 2026 Q1, 510 hedge funds were net buyers of RIO (159 opened a new position, 351 added to an existing one), while 375 reduced or exited (280 trimmed, 95 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 66% of total institutional value in RIO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +64 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 938.

Hedge Fund Ownership: RIO

How many hedge funds hold RIO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of RIO vs. share price

Market Analysis: RIO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: RIO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Rio Tinto plc (RIO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much RIO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
RIO
+13.5%
SPY
+15.9%

RIO outperformed SPY by -2.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
RIO
+2.1%
SPY
+2.0%

Since the filing became public, RIO outperformed SPY by +0.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

42 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
7.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: RIO
928 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in RIO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 928 874 6.18%
13F Shares 136M 140M -3.29%
Total Value $12.32B $11.12B 10.78%
New Positions 153 182 -29
Increased Positions 334 341 -7
Closed Positions 99 65 +34
Reduced Positions 272 208 +64
Total Calls 28 30 -6.67%
Total Puts 26 23 13.04%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.93 0.77 Neutral

Statistics: RIO

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

928 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in RIO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 RIO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Palliser Capital (UK) Ltd 75.10% 1,037,233 $96.8M
2 Foresight Global Investors, Inc. 8.09% 133,534 $12.5M
3 QSM Asset Management Ltd 6.08% 135,057 $12.4M
4 Mh & Associates Securities Management Corp /Adv 3.75% 46,063 $4.3M
5 Abc Arbitrage SA 3.47% 279,807 $26.1M
6 Catalyst Funds Management Pty Ltd 2.77% 175,307 $16.4M
7 Transmarket Holdings LP 2.56% 43,803 $3.5M
8 Morgan Dempsey Capital Management LLC 2.26% 51,908 $5.0M
9 Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda 2.24% 127,754 $11.9M
10 Altshuler Shaham Ltd 1.93% 1,144,000 $106.7M
11 Oak Harvest Investment Services 1.92% 197,554 $18.4M
12 Harding Loevner LP 1.89% 1,971,227 $184.0M
13 Trust Investment Advisors 1.87% 34,259 $3.2M
14 Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP 1.60% 107,000 $10.0M
15 Todd Asset Management LLC 1.60% 874,659 $81.6M
16 Greenline Partners, LLC 1.45% 144,834 $13.5M
17 Live Oak Investment Partners 1.38% 24,973 $2.3M
18 Sharpepoint LLC 1.37% 24,628 $2.3M
19 Pacific Heights Asset Management LLC 1.33% 425,000 $39.6M
20 Uncommon Cents Investing LLC 1.32% 61,180 $5.7M
21 Milford Funds Ltd 1.31% 671,339 $62.6M
22 Davis Capital Management 1.26% 20,000 $1.9M
23 Kw Wealth Management LLC 1.26% 10,342 $828K
24 Abbington Investment Group 1.24% 22,840 $2.1M
25 Allen Wealth Management, LLC 1.22% 26,036 $2.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Rio Tinto plc (RIO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for RIO?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RIO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for RIO?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 510 funds bought or added vs 375 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for RIO holders?

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds: 54 of 927 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in RIO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held RIO?

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 535 out of 938 hedge funds have held RIO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Rio Tinto plc (RIO) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, RIO has moved +2.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +2.0% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), RIO has gained +13.5% vs +15.9% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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