Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Radian Group Inc (RDN)

371 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in RDN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — RDN

Based on 373 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
373 hedge funds hold RDN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +12% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+39 new funds entered over the past year (+12% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

213 buying173 selling
Last quarter: 213 funds bought or added vs 173 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new RDN position: 44 → 58 → 52 → 63. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 64% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 17% new
237 out of 373 hedge funds have held RDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

55 → 44 → 58 → 52 → 63 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 44 → 58 → 52 → 63. A growing number of institutions are discovering RDN each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 69% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 376 holders: 258 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 42 entered 1–2 years ago, and 76 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds

37% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 373 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — RDN

In 2026 Q1, 213 hedge funds were net buyers of RDN (63 opened a new position, 150 added to an existing one), while 173 reduced or exited (113 trimmed, 60 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 37% of total institutional value in RDN is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 373.

Hedge Fund Ownership: RDN

How many hedge funds hold RDN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of RDN vs. share price

Market Analysis: RDN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: RDN

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Radian Group Inc (RDN) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much RDN has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
RDN
+4.8%
XLF
+8.0%

RDN outperformed XLF by -3.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
RDN
-6.1%
XLF
+4.4%

Since the filing became public, RDN outperformed XLF by -10.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

24 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
6.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: RDN
371 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in RDN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 371 370 0.27%
13F Shares 120M 124M -3.58%
Total Value $3.71B $4.45B -16.65%
New Positions 62 52 +10
Increased Positions 148 132 +16
Closed Positions 61 49 +12
Reduced Positions 111 123 -12
Total Calls 2 4 -50.0%
Total Puts 1 1 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.25 Bullish

Statistics: RDN

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

371 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in RDN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 RDN holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Bruni J V & Co /Co 5.49% 1,589,304 $52.6M
2 Cander Asset Management LP 3.32% 558,703 $18.5M
3 New Vernon Investment Management LLC 3.16% 90,031 $3.0M
4 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 2.74% 4,605,775 $152.4M
5 Westport Asset Management Inc 1.90% 130,371 $4.3M
6 Skba Capital Management LLC 1.72% 379,600 $12.6M
7 Aegis Financial Corp 1.68% 295,274 $9.8M
8 Aster Capital Management (DIFC) Ltd 1.07% 99,194 $3.3M
9 Miller Financial Services LLC 0.52% 14,400 $476K
10 River Road Asset Management, LLC 0.42% 1,127,623 $37.3M
11 Interval Partners, LP 0.39% 444,482 $14.7M
12 nVerses Capital, LLC 0.37% 12,425 $411K
13 Entrust Financial LLC 0.25% 10,760 $356K
14 RBF Capital, LLC 0.24% 140,000 $4.6M
15 Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, INC. 0.23% 2,078,977 $68.8M
16 Corus Family Wealth Advisors 0.21% 7,918 $262K
17 Fieldview Capital Management, LLC 0.21% 21,465 $710K
18 Polar Capital Holdings Plc 0.18% 1,500,000 $49.6M
19 Annis Gardner Whiting Capital Advisors, LLC 0.17% 32,065 $1.1M
20 Prana Capital Management, LP 0.14% 140,726 $4.7M
21 iSAM Funds (UK) Ltd 0.14% 8,585 $284K
22 Lighthouse Investment Partners, LLC 0.14% 121,772 $4.0M
23 James Investment Research, INC. 0.14% 37,164 $1.2M
24 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.13% 98,173 $3.2M
25 R Squared Ltd 0.13% 7,312 $242K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Radian Group Inc (RDN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for RDN?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for RDN?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 213 funds bought or added vs 173 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for RDN holders?

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds: 52 of 373 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held RDN?

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 237 out of 373 hedge funds have held RDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Radian Group Inc (RDN) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, RDN has moved -6.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.4% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -10.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), RDN has gained +4.8% vs +8.0% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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