Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Radian Group Inc (RDN)

388 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in RDN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
6Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — RDN

Based on 390 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 6 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 6 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
390 hedge funds hold RDN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+46 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

224 buying163 selling
Last quarter: 224 funds bought or added vs 163 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~66 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 58 → 52 → 63 → 66. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

63% conviction (2yr+) 17% medium 20% new
246 out of 390 hedge funds have held RDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

46 → 58 → 52 → 63 → 66 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 58 → 52 → 63 → 66. A growing number of institutions are discovering RDN each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 22% newcomers

67% veterans 11% 1-2yr 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 392 holders: 264 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 43 entered 1–2 years ago, and 85 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds

58% from top-100 AUM funds
58 of 390 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in RDN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — RDN

In 2026 Q2, 224 hedge funds were net buyers of RDN (66 opened a new position, 158 added to an existing one), while 163 reduced or exited (112 trimmed, 51 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 6 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 58% of total institutional value in RDN is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +15 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 390.

Hedge Fund Ownership: RDN

How many hedge funds hold RDN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of RDN vs. share price

Market Analysis: RDN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: RDN

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Radian Group Inc (RDN) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much RDN has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 82d ago
RDN
-7.1%
XLF
+4.2%

RDN outperformed XLF by -11.3% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 37d ago
RDN
-5.4%
XLF
-4.0%

Since the filing became public, RDN outperformed XLF by -1.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

16 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: RDN
388 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in RDN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 388 375 3.47%
13F Shares 129M 122M 5.9%
Total Value $4.50B $3.79B 18.59%
New Positions 66 63 +3
Increased Positions 156 149 +7
Closed Positions 53 60 -7
Reduced Positions 112 113 -1
Total Calls 2 2 -
Total Puts 0 1 -100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.5 Bullish

Statistics: RDN

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

388 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in RDN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 RDN holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Bruni J V & Co /Co 5.42% 1,575,667 $59.4M
2 Aegis Financial Corp 4.86% 817,512 $30.8M
3 New Vernon Investment Management LLC 4.15% 90,031 $3.4M
4 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 2.89% 4,329,811 $163.1M
5 Westport Asset Management Inc 2.01% 130,371 $4.9M
6 Skba Capital Management LLC 1.88% 303,200 $11.4M
7 EMG Holdings, L.P. 1.50% 50,000 $1.9M
8 Cander Asset Management LP 1.39% 198,774 $7.5M
9 Interval Partners, LP 0.51% 520,558 $19.6M
10 River Road Asset Management, LLC 0.45% 1,081,337 $40.7M
11 Miller Financial Services LLC 0.44% 14,400 $542K
12 VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET Al 0.27% 1,209,272 $45.6M
13 Entrust Financial LLC 0.26% 10,760 $405K
14 Park Capital Management, LLC / WI 0.24% 10,781 $406K
15 RBF Capital, LLC 0.23% 150,000 $5.7M
16 Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, INC. 0.21% 2,001,659 $75.4M
17 Fieldview Capital Management, LLC 0.20% 18,849 $710K
18 Corus Family Wealth Advisors 0.20% 7,794 $294K
19 Nfj Investment Group, LLC 0.20% 155,984 $5.9M
20 Annis Gardner Whiting Capital Advisors, LLC 0.20% 34,808 $1.3M
21 Denali Advisors LLC 0.18% 48,600 $1.8M
22 Daytona Street Capital LLC 0.16% 6,000 $226K
23 Impact Investors, Inc 0.16% 5,736 $216K
24 Polar Capital Holdings Plc 0.15% 1,660,000 $62.5M
25 James Investment Research, INC. 0.14% 37,164 $1.4M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Radian Group Inc (RDN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for RDN?

Buying streak — 6 quarters in a row: For 6 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added RDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for RDN?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 224 funds bought or added vs 163 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for RDN holders?

Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds: 58 of 390 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in RDN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held RDN?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 246 out of 390 hedge funds have held RDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Radian Group Inc (RDN) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, RDN has moved -5.4% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -4.0% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), RDN has gained -7.1% vs +4.2% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →