Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in RCL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +57
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — RCL

Based on 1240 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added RCL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,240 hedge funds hold RCL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +7% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+77 new funds entered over the past year (+7% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

635 buying593 selling
Last quarter: 635 funds bought or added vs 593 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+32 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new RCL position: 156 → 175 → 147 → 179. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

60% conviction (2yr+) 22% medium 19% new
739 out of 1,240 hedge funds have held RCL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +58%, value +24%

Value
+24%
Shares
+57%
Last quarter: funds added +58% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +24%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~179 new funds/quarter

224 → 156 → 175 → 147 → 179 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 156 → 175 → 147 → 179. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 23% newcomers

63% veterans 13% 1-2yr 23% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,299 holders: 821 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 174 entered 1–2 years ago, and 304 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 70% AUM from top-100 funds

70% from top-100 AUM funds
72 of 1227 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 70% of total institutional value in RCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — RCL

In 2026 Q2, 635 hedge funds were net buyers of RCL (179 opened a new position, 456 added to an existing one), while 593 reduced or exited (471 trimmed, 122 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 70% of total institutional value in RCL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +57 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 1240.

Hedge Fund Ownership: RCL

How many hedge funds hold RCL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of RCL vs. share price

Market Analysis: RCL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: RCL

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

33 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: RCL
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in RCL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1218 1183 2.96%
13F Shares 247M 232M 6.65%
Total Value $77.25B $62.50B 23.6%
New Positions 177 147 +30
Increased Positions 433 469 -36
Closed Positions 129 158 -29
Reduced Positions 451 387 +64
Total Calls 35 37 -5.41%
Total Puts 36 39 -7.69%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.03 1.05 Neutral

Statistics: RCL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in RCL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 RCL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Osiris Holdings INC. 100.00% 11,708,700 $3.72B
2 Dougherty & Associates, LLC 9.40% 36,985 $11.7M
3 Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P. 4.34% 140,407 $44.6M
4 Savoir Faire Capital Management, L.P. 4.06% 20,611 $6.5M
5 Clough Capital Partners L P 3.32% 128,450 $40.8M
6 Noesis Capital Mangement Corp 3.08% 80,752 $25.6M
7 Silvant Capital Management LLC 2.90% 314,249 $99.8M
8 Capital Group Investment Management Pte. Ltd. 2.04% 42,636 $13.5M
9 Capital International Ltd /Ca/ 2.03% 195,557 $62.1M
10 Legacy Capital Wealth Management, LLC 1.91% 13,100 $4.2M
11 Capital International Sarl 1.84% 408,171 $129.6M
12 Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P. 1.83% 69,856 $22.2M
13 Concord Investment Counsel Inc. 1.75% 20,222 $6.4M
14 Flat Footed LLC 1.75% 72,000 $22.9M
15 Left Brain Wealth Management, LLC 1.71% 17,845 $5.7M
16 Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP 1.65% 56,096 $17.8M
17 Capital International Investors 1.61% 24,493,815 $7.78B
18 Mezzasalma Advisors, LLC 1.56% 24,526 $7.8M
19 Capital Research Global Investors 1.52% 34,256,274 $10.88B
20 Junto Capital Management LP 1.49% 267,980 $85.1M
21 Beacon Investment Advisors LLC 1.43% 14,308 $4.5M
22 Piscataqua Savings Bank 1.39% 6,483 $2.1M
23 Capital International, Inc./CA/ 1.39% 622,250 $197.6M
24 Meiji Yasuda America Inc 1.38% 26,035 $8.3M
25 Quadrant Private Wealth Management, LLC 1.31% 18,386 $5.9M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for RCL?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added RCL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for RCL?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 635 funds bought or added vs 593 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for RCL holders?

Elite ownership — 70% AUM from top-100 funds: 72 of 1227 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 70% of total institutional value in RCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held RCL?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 739 out of 1,240 hedge funds have held RCL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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