Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in RCL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -13
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — RCL

Based on 1180 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their RCL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (99% of max)

99% of all-time peak
1,180 hedge funds hold RCL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +12% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+130 new funds entered over the past year (+12% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

626 buying559 selling
Last quarter: 626 funds bought or added vs 559 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-28 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 223 → 156 → 174 → 146. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 23% medium ■ 18% new
702 out of 1,180 hedge funds have held RCL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

157 → 223 → 156 → 174 → 146 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 223 → 156 → 174 → 146. RCL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 23% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 23% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,245 holders: 795 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 160 entered 1–2 years ago, and 290 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 63% AUM from top-100 funds

63% from top-100 AUM funds
66 of 1168 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 63% of total institutional value in RCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — RCL

In 2026 Q1, 626 hedge funds were net buyers of RCL (146 opened a new position, 480 added to an existing one), while 559 reduced or exited (400 trimmed, 159 sold completely) — a 53% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 63% of total institutional value in RCL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -13 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1180.

Hedge Fund Ownership: RCL

How many hedge funds hold RCL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of RCL vs. share price

Market Analysis: RCL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: RCL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much RCL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 74d ago
RCL
+7.0%
XLY
+7.0%

RCL outperformed XLY by +0.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 29d ago
RCL
+13.7%
XLY
+0.1%

Since the filing became public, RCL outperformed XLY by +13.6% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

74 top-rated funds 11 high-conviction
Consensus
8.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: RCL
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in RCL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1170 1193 -1.93%
13F Shares 229M 231M -0.64%
Total Value $61.89B $63.72B -2.87%
New Positions 144 174 -30
Increased Positions 464 433 +31
Closed Positions 167 167 -
Reduced Positions 384 406 -22
Total Calls 37 38 -2.63%
Total Puts 39 37 5.41%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.05 0.97 Neutral

Statistics: RCL

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in RCL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 RCL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Dougherty & Associates, LLC 9.34% 36,949 $10.2M
2 Newbrook Capital Advisors LP 8.26% 168,096 $46.3M
3 Columbus Hill Capital Management, L.P. 5.74% 140,407 $38.6M
4 Savoir Faire Capital Management, L.P. 4.49% 27,014 $7.4M
5 Clough Capital Partners L P 3.28% 123,961 $34.1M
6 Noesis Capital Mangement Corp 3.21% 78,973 $21.7M
7 Silvant Capital Management LLC 2.90% 305,043 $83.9M
8 Flat Footed LLC 2.68% 89,500 $24.6M
9 Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP 2.56% 105,375 $29.0M
10 Range Rock Capital, LLC 2.47% 4,190 $1.2M
11 Tremblant Capital Group 2.14% 241,930 $66.6M
12 Tabor Asset Management, LP 2.14% 19,356 $5.3M
13 Legacy Capital Wealth Management, LLC 2.07% 13,100 $3.6M
14 Capital Group Investment Management Pte. Ltd. 1.97% 41,922 $11.5M
15 Capital International Ltd /Ca/ 1.96% 192,257 $52.9M
16 Mezzasalma Advisors, LLC 1.90% 26,973 $7.4M
17 Capital International Sarl 1.77% 393,137 $108.2M
18 Capital International Investors 1.62% 25,051,397 $6.89B
19 Concord Investment Counsel Inc. 1.56% 16,826 $4.6M
20 Helix Partners Management LP 1.54% 20,900 $5.8M
21 Bluebird Wealth Management LLC 1.50% 5,307 $1.5M
22 Atalanta Sosnoff Capital, LLC 1.48% 250,018 $68.8M
23 Meiji Yasuda America Inc 1.46% 21,399 $5.9M
24 Navellier & Associates Inc 1.37% 47,598 $13.1M
25 Capital International, Inc./CA/ 1.29% 607,017 $167.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for RCL?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their RCL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for RCL?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 626 funds bought or added vs 559 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for RCL holders?

Elite ownership — 63% AUM from top-100 funds: 66 of 1168 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 63% of total institutional value in RCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held RCL?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 702 out of 1,180 hedge funds have held RCL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, RCL has moved +13.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.1% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +13.6%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), RCL has gained +7.0% vs +7.0% for XLY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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