Based on 462 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
➡️
No change last quarter
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
462 hedge funds hold RAL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +15300% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+459 new funds entered over the past year (+15300% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 44% buying
204 buying258 selling
Last quarter: 258 funds reduced or exited vs 204 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-55 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 0 → 460 → 149 → 94. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 96% entered in last year
■ 1% conviction (2yr+)
■ 2% medium
■ 96% new
Only 6 funds (1%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰
Value +20% but shares only +2% — price-driven
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +20%, but actual share count only changed +2%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
3 → 0 → 460 → 149 → 94 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 0 → 460 → 149 → 94. RAL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 96% of holders entered in last year
■ 4% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 96% new
Of 464 current holders: 446 (96%) entered in the past year, only 18 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆
Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds
51% from top-100 AUM funds
43 of 462 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in RAL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 7.7/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Selling pressure exceeds buying: only 44% of active funds buying. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.