Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

PAYPAL HLDGS INC (PYPL)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PYPL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -25
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
41%

Smart Money Signals — PYPL

Based on 1623 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PYPL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 88% of 3.0Y peak

88% of all-time peak
1,623 funds currently hold this stock — 88% of the 3.0-year high of 1,851 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
228 fewer hedge funds hold PYPL compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying

738 buying1042 selling
Last quarter: 1,042 funds reduced or exited vs 738 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+97 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new PYPL position: 153 → 165 → 120 → 217. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

72% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 72% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 12% new
1,176 out of 1,623 hedge funds have held PYPL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~217 new funds/quarter

236 → 153 → 165 → 120 → 217 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 153 → 165 → 120 → 217. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 75% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 75% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 16% new
Of 1,733 current holders: 1,296 (75%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds

47% from top-100 AUM funds
44 of 1623 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in PYPL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PYPL

How many hedge funds hold PYPL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PYPL vs. share price

Market Analysis: PYPL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PYPL

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

163 top-rated funds 18 high-conviction
Consensus
9.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PYPL
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 22 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PYPL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 1733 1754 -1.2%
13F Shares 796M 774M 2.83%
Total Value $46.37B $52.11B -11.02%
New Positions 220 128 +92
Increased Positions 678 767 -89
Closed Positions 257 221 +36
Reduced Positions 916 868 +48
Total Calls 71 65 9.23%
Total Puts 54 56 -3.57%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.76 0.86 Neutral

Statistics: PYPL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PYPL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of PYPL — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Lindsell Train Ltd 6.03% 4,179,623 $189.0M
2 QSM Asset Management Ltd 4.24% 192,119 $8.7M
3 SLT Holdings LLC 3.37% 110,000 $5.0M
4 PENN DAVIS MCFARLAND INC 3.00% 677,417 $30.6M
5 F&V Capital Management, LLC 2.19% 229,320 $10K
6 Old North State Wealth Management, LLC 1.90% 90,838 $4.1M
7 Board of the Pension Protection Fund 1.63% 39,100 $1.8M
8 Arkfeld Wealth Strategies, L.L.C. 1.43% 91,212 $4.5M
9 THOMPSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. 1.34% 229,741 $10.4M
10 Gibraltar Capital Management, Inc. 1.23% 157,274 $7.1M
11 LifePlan Financial, LLC 1.22% 36,396 $1.6M
12 MATRIX ASSET ADVISORS INC/NY 1.11% 267,229 $12.1M
13 Alpha Omega Wealth Management LLC 1.00% 136,103 $6.2M
14 CHIRON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.95% 20,420 $924K
15 Cascade Investment Advisors, Inc. 0.93% 34,730 $1.6M
16 Red Spruce Capital, LLC 0.93% 50,000 $2.3M
17 Fiduciary Alliance LLC 0.86% 288,712 $14.3M
18 DAVIDSON INVESTMENT ADVISORS 0.86% 267,962 $17.5M
19 FLOYD FINANCIAL GROUP LLC 0.85% 25,726 $1.3M
20 LB Partners LLC 0.81% 20,000 $905K
21 Palouse Capital Management, Inc. 0.80% 26,772 $1.2M
22 Harrington Investments, INC 0.69% 28,992 $1.3M
23 Lafayette Investments, Inc. 0.62% 67,759 $3.1M
24 FNY Investment Advisers, LLC 0.61% 30,800 $1K
25 Barton Investment Management 0.61% 106,654 $4.8M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — PAYPAL HLDGS INC (PYPL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PYPL?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PYPL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for PYPL?

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying: Last quarter: 1,042 funds reduced or exited vs 738 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for PYPL holders?

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds: 44 of 1623 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in PYPL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held PYPL?

72% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,176 out of 1,623 hedge funds have held PYPL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.