Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PYPL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -223
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
41%

Smart Money Signals — PYPL

Based on 1517 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PYPL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 78% of 3.0Y peak

78% of all-time peak
1,517 funds currently hold this stock — 78% of the 3.0-year high of 1,950 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 18% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
331 fewer hedge funds hold PYPL compared to a year ago (-18% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying

747 buying1077 selling
Last quarter: 1,077 funds reduced or exited vs 747 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-61 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 177 → 137 → 236 → 175. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

71% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 71% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 13% new
1,075 out of 1,517 hedge funds have held PYPL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -29%

Value
-29%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -29%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

170 → 177 → 137 → 236 → 175 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 177 → 137 → 236 → 175. A growing number of institutions are discovering PYPL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 74% veterans vs 15% newcomers

■ 74% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 15% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,619 holders: 1,206 (74%) are 2+ year veterans, 166 entered 1–2 years ago, and 247 (15%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds

47% from top-100 AUM funds
64 of 1498 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in PYPL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PYPL

In 2026 Q1, 747 hedge funds were net buyers of PYPL (175 opened a new position, 572 added to an existing one), while 1077 reduced or exited (679 trimmed, 398 sold completely) — a 41% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 47% of total institutional value in PYPL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -223 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1517.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PYPL

How many hedge funds hold PYPL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PYPL vs. share price

Market Analysis: PYPL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PYPL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PYPL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
PYPL
-3.3%
XLF
+1220.3%

PYPL outperformed XLF by -1223.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
PYPL
-1.1%
XLF
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, PYPL outperformed XLF by -5.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

88 top-rated funds 11 high-conviction
Consensus
8.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PYPL
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PYPL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1497 1739 -13.92%
13F Shares 753M 812M -7.33%
Total Value $33.56B $47.36B -29.14%
New Positions 168 236 -68
Increased Positions 531 519 +12
Closed Positions 410 254 +156
Reduced Positions 638 820 -182
Total Calls 73 72 1.39%
Total Puts 44 54 -18.52%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.6 0.75 Bullish

Statistics: PYPL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PYPL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PYPL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Great Hill Capital LLC 55.37% 8,953,700 $850.6M
2 Comprehensive Financial Management LLC 39.00% 25,996,118 $1.18B
3 Punch Card Management L.P. 10.51% 628,907 $28.4M
4 Black Creek Investment Management Inc. 7.70% 3,173,735 $143.5M
5 Sparta 24 Ltd. 6.22% 120,276 $5.4M
6 Lindsell Train Ltd 6.03% 4,179,623 $189.0M
7 Longitude (Cayman) Ltd. 5.55% 300,000 $13.6M
8 Mayar Capital Ltd. 4.58% 84,972 $3.8M
9 QSM Asset Management Ltd 4.24% 192,119 $8.7M
10 Nixon Capital, LLC 4.10% 265,381 $12.0M
11 7g Capital Management, LLC 3.60% 95,000 $5.5M
12 Chou Associates Management Inc. 3.60% 167,400 $7.6M
13 Contour Asset Management LLC 3.60% 2,448,456 $110.7M
14 SLT Holdings LLC 3.37% 110,000 $5.0M
15 Penn Davis Mcfarland Inc 3.00% 677,417 $30.6M
16 Equity Investment Corp 2.77% 3,132,034 $141.7M
17 Lind Value II ApS 2.77% 275,722 $12.5M
18 Union Square Park Capital Management, LLC 2.74% 97,500 $5.7M
19 R.m.sincerbeaux Capital Management LLC 2.48% 94,200 $4.3M
20 Robertson Opportunity Capital, LLC 2.42% 138,915 $6.3M
21 Diversified Investment Strategies, LLC 2.29% 79,115 $3.6M
22 Greatmark Investment Partners, INC. 2.17% 409,365 $18.5M
23 Meridiem Capital Partners LP 2.10% 714,109 $32.3M
24 Permit Capital, LLC 2.00% 130,000 $5.9M
25 Step Capital Management Pte. Ltd. 1.91% 105,000 $4.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PYPL?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PYPL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for PYPL?

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying: Last quarter: 1,077 funds reduced or exited vs 747 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for PYPL holders?

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds: 64 of 1498 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in PYPL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held PYPL?

71% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,075 out of 1,517 hedge funds have held PYPL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, PYPL has moved -1.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), PYPL has gained -3.3% vs +1220.3% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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