Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PYPL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -121
Streak
4Q ▼
Buyers last Q
37%

Smart Money Signals — PYPL

Based on 1399 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PYPL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 72% of 3.0Y peak

72% of all-time peak
1,399 funds currently hold this stock — 72% of the 3.0-year high of 1,952 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 25% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
457 fewer hedge funds hold PYPL compared to a year ago (-25% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 37% buying

561 buying954 selling
Last quarter: 954 funds sold vs only 561 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-57 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 138 → 237 → 176 → 119. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

74% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 74% conviction (2yr+) ■ 14% medium ■ 12% new
1,036 out of 1,399 hedge funds have held PYPL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

179 → 138 → 237 → 176 → 119 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 138 → 237 → 176 → 119. PYPL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 76% veterans vs 14% newcomers

■ 76% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 14% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,500 holders: 1,137 (76%) are 2+ year veterans, 156 entered 1–2 years ago, and 207 (14%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 63% AUM from top-100 funds

63% from top-100 AUM funds
68 of 1384 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 63% of total institutional value in PYPL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PYPL

In 2026 Q2, 561 hedge funds were net buyers of PYPL (119 opened a new position, 442 added to an existing one), while 954 reduced or exited (714 trimmed, 240 sold completely) — a 37% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. This extends a 4-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 63% of total institutional value in PYPL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -121 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1399.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PYPL

How many hedge funds hold PYPL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PYPL vs. share price

Market Analysis: PYPL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PYPL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PYPL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 79d ago
PYPL
+24.6%
XLF
+3.0%

PYPL outperformed XLF by +21.6% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 34d ago
PYPL
-12.5%
XLF
-6.9%

Since the filing became public, PYPL outperformed XLF by -5.6% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

52 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
7.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PYPL
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PYPL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1370 1520 -9.87%
13F Shares 763M 766M -0.39%
Total Value $32.21B $34.42B -6.4%
New Positions 116 176 -60
Increased Positions 402 537 -135
Closed Positions 251 398 -147
Reduced Positions 680 646 +34
Total Calls 70 75 -6.67%
Total Puts 45 45 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.64 0.6 Bullish

Statistics: PYPL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PYPL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PYPL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Comprehensive Financial Management LLC 33.94% 23,950,118 $1.03B
2 Great Hill Capital LLC 21.78% 13,365,300 $935.6M
3 Punch Card Management L.P. 10.61% 628,907 $27.2M
4 Lindsell Train Ltd 5.19% 3,162,672 $136.6M
5 QSM Asset Management Ltd 4.23% 192,119 $8.2M
6 Chou Associates Management Inc. 3.34% 167,400 $7.2M
7 Equity Investment Corp 2.72% 3,297,997 $142.4M
8 Penn Davis Mcfarland Inc 2.62% 680,019 $29.4M
9 Robertson Opportunity Capital, LLC 2.33% 138,915 $6.0M
10 Lind Value II ApS 2.25% 323,471 $14.0M
11 Diversified Investment Strategies, LLC 2.21% 79,275 $3.4M
12 R.m.sincerbeaux Capital Management LLC 2.16% 94,200 $4.1M
13 Greatmark Investment Partners, INC. 2.09% 437,801 $18.9M
14 Hara Capital LLC 1.88% 82,713 $3.6M
15 Mayar Capital Ltd. 1.87% 38,672 $1.7M
16 Eurizon SLJ Capital Ltd 1.77% 111,184 $4.8M
17 Old North State Wealth Management, LLC 1.71% 92,435 $4.0M
18 SLT Holdings LLC 1.62% 60,000 $2.6M
19 Quinn Opportunity Partners LLC 1.61% 804,200 $34.7M
20 DME Capital Management, LP 1.57% 1,424,320 $61.5M
21 Permit Capital, LLC 1.57% 130,000 $5.6M
22 Seizert Capital Partners, LLC 1.55% 871,044 $37.6M
23 Hoertkorn Richard Charles 1.49% 51,330 $2.2M
24 Virtus Family Office LLC 1.44% 42,080 $1.8M
25 Philip James Wealth Mangement, LLC 1.38% 283,951 $12.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PYPL?

Selling streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PYPL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for PYPL?

Heavy selling pressure — only 37% buying: Last quarter: 954 funds sold vs only 561 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for PYPL holders?

Elite ownership — 63% AUM from top-100 funds: 68 of 1384 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 63% of total institutional value in PYPL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held PYPL?

74% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,036 out of 1,399 hedge funds have held PYPL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Paypal Hldgs Inc (PYPL) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, PYPL has moved -12.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -6.9% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.6%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), PYPL has gained +24.6% vs +3.0% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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