Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Phillips 66 (PSX)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PSX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -10
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — PSX

Based on 2109 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PSX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
2,109 hedge funds hold PSX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +21% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+363 new funds entered over the past year (+21% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

988 buying935 selling
Last quarter: 988 funds bought or added vs 935 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-184 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 215 → 229 → 362 → 178. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

69% conviction (2yr+) 15% medium 16% new
1,457 out of 2,109 hedge funds have held PSX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +35%, value -5%

Value
-4%
Shares
+34%
Last quarter: funds added +35% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -5%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

166 → 215 → 229 → 362 → 178 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 215 → 229 → 362 → 178. A growing number of institutions are discovering PSX each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 74% veterans vs 18% newcomers

74% veterans 9% 1-2yr 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 2,158 holders: 1,592 (74%) are 2+ year veterans, 188 entered 1–2 years ago, and 378 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 57% AUM from top-100 funds

57% from top-100 AUM funds
68 of 2099 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 57% of total institutional value in PSX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PSX

In 2026 Q2, 988 hedge funds were net buyers of PSX (178 opened a new position, 810 added to an existing one), while 935 reduced or exited (747 trimmed, 188 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 57% of total institutional value in PSX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -10 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 2109.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PSX

How many hedge funds hold PSX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PSX vs. share price

Market Analysis: PSX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PSX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Phillips 66 (PSX) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PSX has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 80d ago
PSX
+56.5%
XLE
+21.4%

PSX outperformed XLE by +35.1% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 35d ago
PSX
+13.9%
XLE
+4.2%

Since the filing became public, PSX outperformed XLE by +9.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

68 top-rated funds 14 high-conviction
Consensus
8.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PSX
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PSX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 2083 2119 -1.7%
13F Shares 321M 318M 1.18%
Total Value $52.40B $55.69B -5.91%
New Positions 173 362 -189
Increased Positions 793 686 +107
Closed Positions 199 133 +66
Reduced Positions 729 735 -6
Total Calls 30 30 -
Total Puts 28 30 -6.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.93 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: PSX

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PSX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PSX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Elliott Investment Management L.P. 14.36% 19,251,000 $3.25B
2 Advisory Resource Group 4.92% 193,572 $32.7M
3 Recurrent Investment Advisors LLC 4.23% 403,016 $68.1M
4 Lawson Kroeker Investment Management Inc/Ne 3.88% 82,799 $14.0M
5 Tran Capital Management, L.P. 3.68% 189,102 $32.0M
6 Mh & Associates Securities Management Corp /Adv 3.67% 24,208 $4.1M
7 Eldred Rock Partners, LLC 3.56% 97,837 $16.5M
8 Virginia Wealth Management Group, INC. 3.17% 37,694 $6.4M
9 Adams Natural Resources Fund, INC. 3.13% 141,475 $23.9M
10 Merewether Investment Management, LP 3.08% 967,351 $163.5M
11 Stack Financial Management, Inc 2.83% 214,827 $36.3M
12 Wallington Asset Management, LLC 2.77% 133,499 $22.6M
13 Torray Investment Partners LLC 2.69% 117,795 $19.9M
14 Ellerson Group Inc /Adv 2.64% 26,452 $4.5M
15 Disciplined Investments, LLC 2.62% 47,936 $8.1M
16 Rnc Capital Management LLC 2.51% 315,352 $57.5M
17 Catherine Avery Investment Management LLC 2.29% 31,061 $5.3M
18 Mader & Shannon Wealth Management, Inc. 1.97% 24,917 $4.2M
19 Montgomery Investment Management Inc 1.96% 38,200 $6.5M
20 Carlson Capital, L.P. 1.89% 55,375 $9.4M
21 Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc 1.86% 89,788 $15.2M
22 Weaver C. Barksdale & Associates, Inc. 1.80% 11,869 $2.0M
23 Wisconsin Capital Management LLC 1.76% 21,909 $3.7M
24 Glass Wealth Management Co LLC 1.75% 30,990 $5.2M
25 Crescent Sterling, Ltd. 1.75% 11,579 $2.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Phillips 66 (PSX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PSX?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their PSX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for PSX?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 988 funds bought or added vs 935 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for PSX holders?

Elite ownership — 57% AUM from top-100 funds: 68 of 2099 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 57% of total institutional value in PSX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held PSX?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,457 out of 2,109 hedge funds have held PSX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Phillips 66 (PSX) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, PSX has moved +13.9% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +4.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of +9.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), PSX has gained +56.5% vs +21.4% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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