Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Phillips 66 (PSX)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PSX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +229
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — PSX

Based on 2116 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added PSX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
2,116 hedge funds hold PSX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +21% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+369 new funds entered over the past year (+21% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

1059 buying878 selling
Last quarter: 1,059 funds bought or added vs 878 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+132 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new PSX position: 165 → 214 → 229 → 361. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

67% of holders stayed for 2+ years

67% conviction (2yr+) 16% medium 17% new
1,424 out of 2,116 hedge funds have held PSX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+36% value, -1% shares)

Value
+36%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: total value of institutional PSX holdings rose +36% even though funds reduced share count by 1%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

182 → 165 → 214 → 229 → 361 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 165 → 214 → 229 → 361. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 72% veterans vs 18% newcomers

72% veterans 10% 1-2yr 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 2,166 holders: 1,562 (72%) are 2+ year veterans, 210 entered 1–2 years ago, and 394 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
64 of 2106 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in PSX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PSX

In 2026 Q1, 1059 hedge funds were net buyers of PSX (361 opened a new position, 698 added to an existing one), while 878 reduced or exited (746 trimmed, 132 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 44% of total institutional value in PSX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +229 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 2116.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PSX

How many hedge funds hold PSX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PSX vs. share price

Market Analysis: PSX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PSX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Phillips 66 (PSX) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PSX has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
PSX
-1.5%
XLE
-6.1%

PSX outperformed XLE by +4.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
PSX
+2.6%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, PSX outperformed XLE by +5.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

102 top-rated funds 18 high-conviction
Consensus
8.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PSX
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PSX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 2091 1887 10.81%
13F Shares 313M 317M -1.26%
Total Value $55.11B $40.41B 36.38%
New Positions 355 229 +126
Increased Positions 679 685 -6
Closed Positions 151 150 +1
Reduced Positions 725 627 +98
Total Calls 30 31 -3.23%
Total Puts 30 35 -14.29%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.13 Neutral

Statistics: PSX

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PSX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PSX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Elliott Investment Management L.P. 17.44% 19,251,000 $3.51B
2 Advisory Resource Group 6.52% 208,116 $37.9M
3 Oakland Financial Corp 5.75% 2,000 $364K
4 Tran Capital Management, L.P. 4.75% 189,901 $34.6M
5 Lawson Kroeker Investment Management Inc/Ne 4.60% 86,599 $15.8M
6 Recurrent Investment Advisors LLC 4.54% 414,064 $75.4M
7 Eldred Rock Partners, LLC 4.26% 91,834 $16.7M
8 Mh & Associates Securities Management Corp /Adv 3.87% 24,316 $4.4M
9 Torray Investment Partners LLC 3.77% 141,031 $25.7M
10 Virginia Wealth Management Group, INC. 3.67% 37,656 $6.9M
11 Adams Natural Resources Fund, INC. 3.28% 155,475 $28.3M
12 Wallington Asset Management, LLC 3.21% 132,695 $24.2M
13 Ellerson Group Inc /Adv 3.21% 26,856 $4.9M
14 Stack Financial Management, Inc 2.91% 217,285 $39.6M
15 Agman Capital LLC 2.86% 19,702 $3.6M
16 Disciplined Investments, LLC 2.80% 42,781 $7.8M
17 SIR Capital Management, L.P. 2.54% 149,104 $27.2M
18 Catherine Avery Investment Management LLC 2.53% 30,991 $5.6M
19 Montgomery Investment Management Inc 2.41% 38,699 $7.1M
20 Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC 2.28% 32,000 $5.8M
21 Icon Advisers Inc/Co 2.25% 53,417 $9.7M
22 Harris Associates L P 2.22% 9,134,428 $1.66B
23 Kenora Financial, LLC 2.22% 34,757 $6.3M
24 Ticino Wealth 2.19% 33,194 $6.3M
25 Wisconsin Capital Management LLC 2.17% 21,702 $4.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Phillips 66 (PSX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PSX?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added PSX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for PSX?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 1,059 funds bought or added vs 878 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for PSX holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 64 of 2106 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in PSX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held PSX?

67% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,424 out of 2,116 hedge funds have held PSX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Phillips 66 (PSX) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, PSX has moved +2.6% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of +5.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), PSX has gained -1.5% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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