Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Pony Ai Inc (PONY)

147 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PONY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +7
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — PONY

Based on 147 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added PONY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
147 hedge funds hold PONY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +149% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+88 new funds entered over the past year (+149% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

93 buying78 selling
Last quarter: 93 funds bought or added vs 78 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new PONY position: 71 → 64 → 34 → 42. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 54% entered in last year

■ 5% conviction (2yr+) ■ 41% medium ■ 54% new
Only 7 funds (5%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +13%, value -27%

Value
-27%
Shares
+12%
Last quarter: funds added +13% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -27%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

29 → 71 → 64 → 34 → 42 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 71 → 64 → 34 → 42. PONY is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱

Early stage — 82% of holders entered in last year

■ 3% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 82% new
Of 164 current holders: 134 (82%) entered in the past year, only 5 (3%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 145 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
5.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PONY

In 2026 Q1, 93 hedge funds were net buyers of PONY (42 opened a new position, 51 added to an existing one), while 78 reduced or exited (43 trimmed, 35 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 35% of total institutional value in PONY is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +7 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 147.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PONY

How many hedge funds hold PONY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PONY vs. share price

Market Analysis: PONY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PONY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Pony Ai Inc (PONY) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PONY has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 76d ago
PONY
-13.7%
XLK
+39.1%

PONY outperformed XLK by -52.8% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 31d ago
PONY
-1.7%
XLK
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, PONY outperformed XLK by -6.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PONY
147 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PONY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 147 140 5.0%
13F Shares 116M 103M 12.59%
Total Value $1.09B $1.50B -27.3%
New Positions 42 34 +8
Increased Positions 45 57 -12
Closed Positions 35 41 -6
Reduced Positions 41 37 +4
Total Calls 11 12 -8.33%
Total Puts 8 8 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.73 0.67 Neutral

Statistics: PONY

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Profit Margin --
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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

147 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PONY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PONY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 TMT General Partner Ltd 26.23% 6,942,135 $65.5M
2 IDG China Venture Capital Fund IV Associates L.P. 17.18% 3,989,250 $37.7M
3 HSG Holding Ltd 6.18% 7,538,358 $100.1M
4 Flight Deck Capital, LP 5.77% 839,900 $7.9M
5 Yunqi Capital Ltd 4.24% 415,000 $3.9M
6 Yiheng Capital Management, L.P. 2.67% 653,215 $6.2M
7 Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board 1.77% 6,492,530 $61.3M
8 Renaissance Capital LLC 0.86% 119,586 $1.2M
9 Lingotto Investment Management LLP 0.62% 3,324,068 $31.4M
10 Green Alpha Advisors, LLC 0.38% 41,171 $389K
11 Masters Capital Management LLC 0.31% 1,000,000 $9.4M
12 Masters Capital Management LLC 0.30% 950,000 $9.0M
13 Amova Asset Management Americas, Inc. 0.24% 1,821,735 $17.2M
14 Soros Fund Management LLC 0.23% 2,230,400 $21.1M
15 Carlyle Group Inc. 0.21% 2,362,447 $22.3M
16 Baader Bank Aktiengesellschaft 0.15% 204,504 $1.9M
17 ARK Investment Management LLC 0.14% 1,926,151 $18.2M
18 Soros Fund Management LLC 0.13% 1,292,309 $12.2M
19 Legend Capital Advisors LLC 0.13% 21,980 $207K
20 Tiger Global Management LLC 0.12% 2,900,000 $27.4M
21 Dnca Finance 0.10% 187,500 $1.8M
22 Armistice Capital, LLC 0.09% 536,000 $5.1M
23 M&G Plc 0.08% 1,638,326 $14.7M
24 Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd. 0.08% 349,800 $3.3M
25 Baillie Gifford & Co 0.06% 6,359,468 $60.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Pony Ai Inc (PONY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PONY?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added PONY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for PONY?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 93 funds bought or added vs 78 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for PONY holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 37 of 145 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held PONY?

Mostly new holders — 54% entered in last year: Only 7 funds (5%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Pony Ai Inc (PONY) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, PONY has moved -1.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of -6.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), PONY has gained -13.7% vs +39.1% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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