Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Pony Ai Inc (PONY)

153 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PONY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +10
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
62%

Smart Money Signals — PONY

Based on 157 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added PONY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
157 hedge funds hold PONY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +43% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+47 new funds entered over the past year (+43% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 62% buying

109 buying66 selling
Last quarter: 109 funds were net buyers (40 opened a brand new position + 69 added to an existing one). Only 66 were sellers (36 trimmed + 30 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~40 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 64 → 35 → 42 → 40. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 43% entered in last year

■ 6% conviction (2yr+) ■ 50% medium ■ 43% new
Only 10 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +21%, value -14%

Value
-13%
Shares
+20%
Last quarter: funds added +21% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -14%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

71 → 64 → 35 → 42 → 40 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 64 → 35 → 42 → 40. PONY is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱

Early stage — 70% of holders entered in last year

■ 3% veterans ■ 27% 1-2yr ■ 70% new
Of 172 current holders: 120 (70%) entered in the past year, only 5 (3%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅

Strong quality — 28% AUM from major funds

28% from top-100 AUM funds
38 of 154 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 28% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PONY

In 2026 Q2, 109 hedge funds were net buyers of PONY (40 opened a new position, 69 added to an existing one), while 66 reduced or exited (36 trimmed, 30 sold completely) — a 62% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 28% of total institutional value in PONY is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +10 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 157.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PONY

How many hedge funds hold PONY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PONY vs. share price

Market Analysis: PONY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PONY

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

7 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
3.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PONY
153 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PONY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 153 147 4.08%
13F Shares 140M 116M 20.52%
Total Value $940M $1.09B -13.57%
New Positions 39 42 -3
Increased Positions 65 45 +20
Closed Positions 30 36 -6
Reduced Positions 32 41 -9
Total Calls 11 11 -
Total Puts 7 8 -12.5%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.64 0.73 Bullish

Statistics: PONY

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

153 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PONY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PONY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 TMT General Partner Ltd 24.89% 6,942,135 $48.2M
2 IDG China Venture Capital Fund IV Associates L.P. 18.83% 3,989,250 $27.7M
3 HSG Holding Ltd 4.38% 7,538,358 $52.4M
4 Flight Deck Capital, LP 2.83% 839,900 $5.8M
5 Yiheng Capital Management, L.P. 1.56% 653,215 $4.5M
6 Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board 0.95% 21,641,766 $150.4M
7 Renaissance Capital LLC 0.50% 131,574 $914K
8 JGP Global Gestao de Recursos Ltda. 0.28% 18,490 $129K
9 Lingotto Investment Management LLP 0.27% 1,817,066 $12.6M
10 Ghisallo Capital Management LLC 0.20% 1,500,000 $10.4M
11 Green Alpha Advisors, LLC 0.19% 41,484 $288K
12 Masters Capital Management LLC 0.18% 1,000,000 $7.0M
13 Waterloo Capital, L.P. 0.18% 449,283 $3.1M
14 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.17% 235,066 $1.6M
15 Masters Capital Management LLC 0.17% 950,000 $6.6M
16 Carlyle Group Inc. 0.16% 2,362,447 $16.4M
17 Dnca Finance 0.14% 426,800 $3.0M
18 Amova Asset Management Americas, Inc. 0.14% 1,596,694 $11.1M
19 Baader Bank Aktiengesellschaft 0.12% 224,504 $1.6M
20 ARK Investment Management LLC 0.10% 2,212,454 $15.4M
21 Havemeyer Place LP 0.08% 123,713 $860K
22 M&G Plc 0.08% 2,432,769 $17.0M
23 Legend Capital Advisors LLC 0.08% 21,980 $153K
24 Baillie Gifford & Co 0.08% 12,421,070 $86.3M
25 Abu Dhabi Investment Council Co P.J.S.C 0.08% 78,556 $546K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Pony Ai Inc (PONY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PONY?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added PONY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for PONY?

More buyers than sellers — 62% buying: Last quarter: 109 funds were net buyers (40 opened a brand new position + 69 added to an existing one). Only 66 were sellers (36 trimmed + 30 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for PONY holders?

Strong quality — 28% AUM from major funds: 38 of 154 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 28% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held PONY?

Mostly new holders — 43% entered in last year: Only 10 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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