Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Petroleo Brasileiro S A (PBR/A)

214 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in PBR/A. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — PBR/A

Based on 214 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added PBR/A than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
214 hedge funds hold PBR/A right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +11% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+22 new funds entered over the past year (+11% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

119 buying100 selling
Last quarter: 119 funds bought or added vs 100 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~42 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 26 → 28 → 41 → 42. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

61% conviction (2yr+) 16% medium 23% new
130 out of 214 hedge funds have held PBR/A for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +72% but shares only +9% — price-driven

Value
+72%
Shares
+8%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +72%, but actual share count only changed +9%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

31 → 26 → 28 → 41 → 42 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 26 → 28 → 41 → 42. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years

66% veterans 10% 1-2yr 24% new
Of 221 current holders: 146 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds

47% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 214 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in PBR/A. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — PBR/A

In 2026 Q1, 119 hedge funds were net buyers of PBR/A (42 opened a new position, 77 added to an existing one), while 100 reduced or exited (73 trimmed, 27 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 47% of total institutional value in PBR/A is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +15 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 214.

Hedge Fund Ownership: PBR/A

How many hedge funds hold PBR/A — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of PBR/A vs. share price

Market Analysis: PBR/A

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: PBR/A

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Petroleo Brasileiro S A (PBR/A) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much PBR/A has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
PBR/A
-13.0%
XLE
-6.1%

PBR/A outperformed XLE by -6.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
PBR/A
-8.5%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, PBR/A outperformed XLE by -5.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

19 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: PBR/A
214 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in PBR/A. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 214 199 7.54%
13F Shares 209M 192M 8.57%
Total Value $3.71B $2.15B 72.38%
New Positions 42 41 +1
Increased Positions 76 68 +8
Closed Positions 27 22 +5
Reduced Positions 70 57 +13
Total Calls 4 3 33.33%
Total Puts 4 2 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.67 Neutral

Statistics: PBR/A

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

214 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in PBR/A. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 PBR/A holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 SPX Gestao de Recursos Ltda 10.70% 6,874,705 $128.9M
2 Lifetime Wealth Management P.C. 7.01% 656,972 $12.3M
3 Absolute Gestao de Investimentos Ltda. 6.69% 3,127,700 $58.6M
4 Navi International - Administradora e Gestora de Recursos Financeiros Ltda. 5.21% 948,137 $10.7M
5 LRT Capital Management, LLC 2.65% 136,709 $2.8M
6 Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd 2.53% 594,813 $11.2M
7 Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. 2.47% 9,218,618 $103.2M
8 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 1.48% 425,784 $8.0M
9 Commons Capital, LLC 1.41% 90,000 $1.7M
10 VPR Management LLC 1.16% 154,260 $2.9M
11 Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. 0.83% 31,027,467 $581.8M
12 Farringdon Capital, Ltd. 0.75% 181,781 $3.4M
13 WIT Partners Advisory Pte. Ltd. 0.62% 112,265 $2.1M
14 Brandes Investment Partners, LP 0.56% 4,235,628 $79.4M
15 Stanley-Laman Group, Ltd. 0.45% 174,807 $3.6M
16 Oldfield Partners LLP 0.44% 93,112 $1.7M
17 Larch Capital Partners LLC 0.39% 144,590 $2.7M
18 Causeway Capital Management LLC 0.34% 1,495,664 $28.0M
19 Two Sigma Securities, LLC 0.32% 148,661 $2.8M
20 HighVista Strategies LLC 0.31% 59,400 $1.1M
21 Wellington Shields Capital Management, LLC 0.27% 94,600 $1.8M
22 Legend Capital Advisors LLC 0.24% 20,660 $387K
23 Qtron Investments LLC 0.21% 84,160 $1.6M
24 Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership 0.20% 19,367,732 $363.1M
25 Abc Arbitrage SA 0.18% 71,849 $1.3M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Petroleo Brasileiro S A (PBR/A)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for PBR/A?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added PBR/A than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for PBR/A?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 119 funds bought or added vs 100 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for PBR/A holders?

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds: 42 of 214 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in PBR/A. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held PBR/A?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 130 out of 214 hedge funds have held PBR/A for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Petroleo Brasileiro S A (PBR/A) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, PBR/A has moved -8.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), PBR/A has gained -13.0% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →