Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY)

62 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in OTLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — OTLY

Based on 62 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added OTLY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🔻

Below peak — only 52% of 3.0Y high

52% of all-time peak
Only 62 funds hold OTLY today versus a peak of 120 funds at 2023 Q3 — just 52% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+5 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

23 buying27 selling
Last quarter: 27 funds reduced or exited vs 23 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~10 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 14 → 16 → 8 → 10. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

58% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 58% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 21% new
36 out of 62 hedge funds have held OTLY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

6 → 14 → 16 → 8 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 14 → 16 → 8 → 10. OTLY is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 17% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 19% 1-2yr ■ 17% new
Entry-cohort mix of 64 holders: 41 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 12 entered 1–2 years ago, and 11 (17%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 11% AUM from top-100

11% from top-100 AUM funds
15 of 60 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 11% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
1.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — OTLY

In 2026 Q1, 23 hedge funds were net buyers of OTLY (10 opened a new position, 13 added to an existing one), while 27 reduced or exited (19 trimmed, 8 sold completely) — a 46% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net fund flow last quarter: +2 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 62.

Hedge Fund Ownership: OTLY

How many hedge funds hold OTLY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of OTLY vs. share price

Market Analysis: OTLY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: OTLY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much OTLY has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLP) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
OTLY
-18.1%
XLP
+2.1%

OTLY outperformed XLP by -20.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
OTLY
-17.9%
XLP
-1.1%

Since the filing became public, OTLY outperformed XLP by -16.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

6 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: OTLY
62 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OTLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 62 60 3.33%
13F Shares 4M 3M 15.76%
Total Value $37M $34M 9.13%
New Positions 10 8 +2
Increased Positions 12 12 -
Closed Positions 8 15 -7
Reduced Positions 19 20 -1
Total Calls 1 3 -66.67%
Total Puts 3 2 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 3.0 0.67 Bearish

Statistics: OTLY

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

62 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in OTLY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 OTLY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Prentice Capital Management, LP 0.48% 21,463 $218K
2 R Squared Ltd 0.14% 25,609 $260K
3 Blackstone Inc. 0.08% 1,988,909 $20.2M
4 Crawford Fund Management, LLC 0.07% 36,000 $365K
5 Credit Agricole S A 0.02% 873,047 $8.9M
6 Performa Ltd (US), LLC 0.02% 10,100 $102K
7 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 14,356 $146K
8 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.00% 4,443 $45K
9 Storebrand Asset Management As 0.00% 64,122 $650K
10 Trexquant Investment LP 0.00% 22,523 $228K
11 Westside Investment Management, Inc. 0.00% 700 $7K
12 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 51,513 $522K
13 Leonteq Securities AG 0.00% 2,100 $21K
14 Marshall Wace, LLP 0.00% 71,532 $725K
15 UBS Group AG 0.00% 245,107 $2.5M
16 WealthCollab, LLC 0.00% 85 —
17 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 0.00% 11,756 $119K
18 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) 0.00% 498 $5K
19 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.00% 333 $3K
20 Millennium Management LLC 0.00% 19,796 $201K
21 Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC 0.00% 1,160 $12K
22 Napier Financial, LLC 0.00% 22 —
23 American Capital Advisory, LLC 0.00% 12 —
24 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 43,300 $439K
25 Citadel Advisors LLC 0.00% 24,430 $248K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Oatly Group Ab (OTLY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for OTLY?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added OTLY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for OTLY?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 27 funds reduced or exited vs 23 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for OTLY holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 11% AUM from top-100: 15 of 60 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 11% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held OTLY?

58% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 36 out of 62 hedge funds have held OTLY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, OTLY has moved -17.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -1.1% for the XLP sector ETF — an outperformance of -16.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), OTLY has gained -18.1% vs +2.1% for XLP. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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