Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Oatly Group Ab (OTLY)

59 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in OTLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — OTLY

Based on 61 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OTLY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 51% of 3.0Y high

51% of all-time peak
Only 61 funds hold OTLY today versus a peak of 120 funds at 2023 Q3 — just 51% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉

Outflows — 5% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
3 fewer hedge funds hold OTLY compared to a year ago (-5% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

32 buying22 selling
Last quarter: 32 funds bought or added vs 22 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~10 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 16 → 8 → 10 → 10. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

56% conviction (2yr+) 23% medium 21% new
34 out of 61 hedge funds have held OTLY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

15 → 16 → 8 → 10 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 16 → 8 → 10 → 10. OTLY is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 62% veterans vs 24% newcomers

62% veterans 14% 1-2yr 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 63 holders: 39 (62%) are 2+ year veterans, 9 entered 1–2 years ago, and 15 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds

20% from top-100 AUM funds
14 of 59 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
1.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — OTLY

In 2026 Q2, 32 hedge funds were net buyers of OTLY (10 opened a new position, 22 added to an existing one), while 22 reduced or exited (11 trimmed, 11 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 20% of total institutional value in OTLY is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -1 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 61.

Hedge Fund Ownership: OTLY

How many hedge funds hold OTLY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of OTLY vs. share price

Market Analysis: OTLY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: OTLY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much OTLY has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLP) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 82d ago
OTLY
+33.8%
XLP
-0.3%

OTLY outperformed XLP by +34.1% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 37d ago
OTLY
-9.5%
XLP
-3.8%

Since the filing became public, OTLY outperformed XLP by -5.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

2 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: OTLY
59 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OTLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 59 62 -4.84%
13F Shares 2M 4M -38.38%
Total Value $21M $37M -43.5%
New Positions 10 10 -
Increased Positions 20 12 +8
Closed Positions 11 8 +3
Reduced Positions 11 19 -8
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 3 3 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 3.0 3.0 Bearish

Statistics: OTLY

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

59 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in OTLY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 OTLY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 R Squared Ltd 0.13% 25,770 $241K
2 Crawford Fund Management, LLC 0.10% 69,100 $646K
3 Credit Agricole S A 0.03% 1,340,778 $12.5M
4 Performa Ltd (US), LLC 0.02% 11,400 $107K
5 Maven Securities LTD 0.01% 45,516 $426K
6 Trexquant Investment LP 0.00% 37,154 $347K
7 Storebrand Asset Management As 0.00% 67,457 $631K
8 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.00% 3,795 $35K
9 Westside Investment Management, Inc. 0.00% 1,000 $9K
10 Tidal Investments LLC 0.00% 55,363 $518K
11 Leonteq Securities AG 0.00% 2,630 $25K
12 Marshall Wace, LLP 0.00% 55,809 $522K
13 UBS Group AG 0.00% 318,859 $3.0M
14 WealthCollab, LLC 0.00% 85
15 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 0.00% 17,574 $164K
16 Group One Trading LLC 0.00% 7,181 $67K
17 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.00% 345 $3K
18 Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC 0.00% 1,160 $11K
19 Napier Financial, LLC 0.00% 22
20 Allied Private Wealth LLC 0.00% 7
21 American Capital Advisory, LLC 0.00% 12
22 BNP Paribas Financial Markets 0.00% 9,392 $88K
23 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 35,400 $331K
24 Advocate Investing Services LLC 0.00% 3
25 Citadel Advisors LLC 0.00% 19,055 $178K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Oatly Group Ab (OTLY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for OTLY?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OTLY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for OTLY?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 32 funds bought or added vs 22 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for OTLY holders?

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds: 14 of 59 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held OTLY?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 34 out of 61 hedge funds have held OTLY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Oatly Group Ab (OTLY) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, OTLY has moved -9.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -3.8% for the XLP sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), OTLY has gained +33.8% vs -0.3% for XLP. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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